Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 31

Date: 18 April 2025, Friday


	Azuaga		CD Extremadura

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.95	2.5
	2.7	3	2.5
	2.94	2.88	2.67
	2.75	3.06	2.51	Watch
	2.7	3.3	2.53
	2.7	3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.12)	3.03 ↓ (3.2)	2.54 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Azuaga
33.6%

Draw
30.3%

CD Extremadura
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

28.4%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

29.4%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Azuaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Azuaga's form might have worsened.

CD Extremadura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CD Extremadura's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Azuaga than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Azuaga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Extremadura than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for CD Extremadura, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Azuaga - CD Extremadura Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Azuaga is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Extremadura in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Azuaga won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Azuaga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
13.04.25	Jaraíz - Azuaga	2:2 ✺
06.04.25	Azuaga - Arroyo	3:1 ✺
30.03.25	Llerenense - Azuaga	0:0 ✺
23.03.25	Azuaga - Olivenza	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Jerez - Azuaga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWTWT
- CD Extremadura
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
11.04.25	CD Extremadura - Castuera	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Trujillo - CD Extremadura	0:4 ✺
30.03.25	CD Extremadura - Pueblonuevo	3:1 ✺
23.03.25	Puebla de la Calzada - CD Extremadura	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	CD Extremadura - Badajoz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
07.12.24	CD Extremadura - Azuaga	2:2

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