The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jaraíz 15.2%
Draw 35%
Azuaga 49.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.4%
28.8%
31.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.7%
29.7%
30.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jaraíz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jaraíz's form might have worsened.
Azuaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Azuaga's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaraíz than the current prediction. (+25.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jaraíz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Azuaga than the current prediction. (-19%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Azuaga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Jaraíz - Azuaga Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
76', 0 - 1, ⚽,
82', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: ) and 6).
Jaraíz has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Azuaga is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Jaraíz won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Jaraíz won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
Watch
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