Match Info

NORWAY: DIVISION 2 - GROUP 2 - ROUND 5

Date: 6 May 2023, Saturday


	Bærum		Alta

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	2.8
	2.22	3.59	2.91
	2.15	3.78	2.8
	2.1	3.65	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.31)	3.63 ↓ (3.95)	2.85 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bærum
42.7%

Draw
25.2%

Alta
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

22.7%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

22.3%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bærum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Alta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bærum than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alta than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bærum - Alta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 11 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bærum won 4.

Bærum is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Alta is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bærum will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Bærum won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 23-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Bærum won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bærum Sportsklubb
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
29.04.23	Strømmen - Bærum	3:2 ✺
22.04.23	Bærum - Sotra	1:2 ✺
16.04.23	Bærum - Tromsdalen	0:2 ✺
11.04.23	Strømsgodset 2 - Bærum	2:4 ✺
Club Friendly
02.04.23	Bærum - Lyn	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLWL
- Alta IF
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
29.04.23	Alta - Gjøvik-Lyn	3:2 ✺
22.04.23	Ullensaker Kisa - Alta	5:1 ✺
16.04.23	Alta - Strømmen	1:0 ✺
10.04.23	Tromsdalen - Alta	5:2 ✺
Club Friendly
17.03.23	Gjøvik-Lyn - Alta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
22.10.22	Alta - Bærum	0:2
07.05.22	Bærum - Alta	2:1
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
09.10.21	Bærum - Alta	3:2
30.06.21	Alta - Bærum	2:1
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
04.08.19	Alta - Bærum	1:2
19.05.19	Bærum - Alta	3:1
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
07.10.18	Bærum - Alta	3:0

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