Match Info

Division 3 - Group 1 - Round 9

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday


	Bærum		Grei

	1	X	2
	1.28	5.7	6.3
	1.27	5.74	6.45
	1.31	5.88	6.44	Watch
	1.29	5	7
	1.26	5.6	7.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.38)	5.58 ↑ (4.95)	6.79 ↑ (6.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bærum
70.5%

Draw
16.2%

Grei
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.6%

18.6%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

18.6%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bærum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Grei has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bærum than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grei than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Bærum - Grei Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Coric K. ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, Dacic A. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
54', 3 - 0, Coric K. ⚽,
72', 4 - 0, Bransdal L. ⚽,
87', 5 - 0, Victorio A. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 and 11).

Bærum has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Grei's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Grei may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bærum is the obvious favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Baerum Sportsklubb	22	11	2	9	62:41	21	35
13	Grei	22	6	1	15	40:72	-32	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bærum Sportsklubb
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
23.05.26	Ready - Bærum	4:2 ✺
16.05.26	Bærum - Asker Fotball	2:4 ✺
10.05.26	Union Carl Berner - Bærum	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Bærum - Lokomotiv Oslo	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Bærum - Heming	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLWL
- Grei
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
23.05.26	Grei - KFUM 2	2:3 ✺
14.05.26	Gamle Oslo - Grei	3:1 ✺
09.05.26	Grei - Lokomotiv Oslo	4:4 ✺
02.05.26	Heming - Grei	2:3 ✺
25.04.26	Grei - Ullern	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 36 LLTWW

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