Match Info

Division 3 - Group 1 - Round 7

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	Bærum		Asker Fotball

	1	X	2
	3.7	4.05	1.68
	3.16	4.74	1.71
	3.34	5.29	1.67	Watch
	3.5	4.2	1.67
	3.42	4.35	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (2.41)	4.53 ↓ (4.54)	1.7 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bærum
26.6%

Draw
20.1%

Asker Fotball
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

20.3%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

20.1%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bærum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bærum's form might have worsened.

Asker Fotball has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Asker Fotball's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bærum than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bærum, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Asker Fotball than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Asker Fotball, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Bærum - Asker Fotball Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Asker will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
2', 1 - 0, Bransdal L. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Syvertsen K. (Penalty Awarded),
19', 1 - 2, Severinsen G. ⚽,
29', 1 - 3, Syvertsen K. ⚽,
36', 2 - 3, Bransdal L. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 2 - 4, Spiten-Nysaeter M. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bærum won 2.

Bærum has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Asker is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bærum won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 31:37. (average 1.6:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Bærum won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 1.4:2.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Asker	21	18	1	2	74:29	45	55
6	Baerum Sportsklubb	22	11	2	9	62:41	21	35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bærum Sportsklubb
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
10.05.26	Union Carl Berner - Bærum	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Bærum - Lokomotiv Oslo	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Bærum - Heming	1:4 ✺
18.04.26	Nordstrand - Bærum	1:5 ✺
11.04.26	Bærum - Gamle Oslo	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLWW
- Asker Fotball
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
09.05.26	Asker Fotball - Heming	5:0 ✺
02.05.26	Frigg Oslo - Asker Fotball	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Vålerenga 2 - Asker Fotball	1:4 ✺
13.04.26	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo 2 - Asker Fotball	1:6 ✺
06.04.26	Asker Fotball - Konnerud	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
17.08.24	Asker Fotball - Bærum	0:1
20.05.24	Bærum - Asker Fotball	1:4
Norwegian NM Cup
24.05.23	Asker Fotball - Bærum	0:2
Club Friendly
25.03.23	Bærum - Asker Fotball	1:3
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
31.07.22	Bærum - Asker Fotball	2:3
14.05.22	Asker Fotball - Bærum	0:2
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
02.10.21	Asker Fotball - Bærum	3:0

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