Match Info

NORWAY: DIVISION 2 - GROUP 2 - ROUND 22

Date: 9 October 2023, Monday


	Bærum		Strømsgodset 2

	1	X	2
	1.31	5	6.5
	1.3	5.5	7	Watch
	1.31	5.73	6.9
	1.29	4.6	7.5
	1.28	5.45	7.3	Watch
	1.31	5.4	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.74)	5.28 ↑ (3.88)	6.97 ↑ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bærum
69.8%

Draw
17.2%

Strømsgodset 2
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

23.4%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

20.8%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bærum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bærum's performance.

Strømsgodset 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Strømsgodset 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bærum than the current prediction. (-23.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bærum that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strømsgodset 2 than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Strømsgodset 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Bærum - Strømsgodset 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Bærum will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Strømsgodset 2 will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Skretteberg D. N. (G) 14. Arvesen C. S. (C) 9. Augdal M. 7. Bransdale L. 19. Haugen K. 3. Johansen A. 10. Lovseth R. S. 17. Myrmo M. 15. Oya J. 20. Sorensen K. 2. Vogt P.	40. Saetra M. (G) 85. Ahmadzay D. 28. Blikstad E. (C) 39. Bukten J. 14. Enersen O. 30. Holst-Larsen F. 44. Lacle K. 37. Marcello Silalahi S. A. 65. Selliah A. 22. Therkelsen J. 68. Vaage Y.
Substitutes
18. Bojang J. 4. Dacic A. 5. Frobenius A. 22. Holter J. 23. Orbeck L. F. 21. Skrefsrud J. (G) 24. Vukicevic A.	60. Dystland S. 90. Gabrielsen M. 52. Hagen A. 75. Lindahn E. 58. Myrvang H. 84. Skistad A. 19. Sorum C. 38. Spiten-Nysaeter M.

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Strømsgodset 2 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bærum is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bærum won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Bærum won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bærum Sportsklubb
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
01.10.23	Junkeren - Bærum	3:1 ✺
25.09.23	Bærum - Brann 2	1:0 ✺
17.09.23	Sotra - Bærum	2:1 ✺
03.09.23	Alta - Bærum	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	Bærum - Levanger	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLTL
- Strømsgodset IF 2
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
02.10.23	Strømsgodset 2 - Levanger	0:1 ✺
25.09.23	Tromsdalen - Strømsgodset 2	4:0 ✺
18.09.23	Strømsgodset 2 - Ullensaker Kisa	1:3 ✺
04.09.23	Gjøvik-Lyn - Strømsgodset 2	2:0 ✺
28.08.23	Strømsgodset 2 - Ullern	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
11.04.23	Strømsgodset 2 - Bærum	2:4
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 4
11.09.16	Strømsgodset 2 - Bærum	2:3
23.05.16	Bærum - Strømsgodset 2	4:1

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