Match Info

NORWAY: DIVISION 2 - GROUP 2 - ROUND 19

Date: 17 September 2023, Sunday


	Sotra		Bærum

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.5	4	Watch
	1.65	4.28	4.16
	1.61	4.3	4.3
	1.61	4.3	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.51)	4.35 ↑ (4.2)	4.14 ↓ (4.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sotra
56.6%

Draw
21.2%

Bærum
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

21.6%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

21%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sotra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Bærum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sotra than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sotra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bærum than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Sotra - Bærum Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grasmo M. (G) 3. Brudvik S. 7. Falck F. 8. Foldnes H. 13. Haakon B. 27. Horneland D. 4. Kalsaas E. 19. Mvuka B. 6. Nyland H. 10. Pedersen P. (C) 2. Ree K.	1. Skretteberg D. N. (G) 7. Bransdale L. 23. Hagen M. 19. Haugen K. 3. Johansen A. 10. Lovseth R. S. 24. Lundal M. 17. Myrmo M. 15. Oya J. 20. Sorensen K. 2. Vogt P.
Substitutes
24. Buan J. O. 26. Herdlevaer H. 12. Johansson D. (G) 22. Kjorsvik E. 23. Rottingen K. 9. Syversen O. 14. Thorsen C.	14. Arvesen C. S. 18. Bojang J. 4. Dacic A. 22. Holter J. 21. Skrefsrud J. (G)

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 6 and 9).

Sotra is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bærum is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Sotra is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sotra won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Sotra won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sotra SK
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
03.09.23	Levanger - Sotra	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	Sotra - Ullensaker Kisa	2:1 ✺
19.08.23	Alta - Sotra	1:1 ✺
12.08.23	Sotra - Kvik Halden	2:0 ✺
06.08.23	Strømsgodset 2 - Sotra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 TWTWT
- Bærum Sportsklubb
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
03.09.23	Alta - Bærum	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	Bærum - Levanger	2:6 ✺
19.08.23	Ullensaker Kisa - Bærum	4:1 ✺
16.08.23	Kvik Halden - Bærum	Canceled ✺
12.08.23	Bærum - Ullern	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLL?W

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
22.04.23	Bærum - Sotra	1:2
19.09.20	Sotra - Bærum	1:1
17.08.19	Sotra - Bærum	3:2
22.06.19	Bærum - Sotra	2:2

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