Match Info

Carioca C - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 19 July 2026, Sunday


	Búzios		Barra Mansa

	1	X	2
	2.14	3.64	2.85	Watch
	2.45	2.95	2.35
	2.82	2.69	2.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.45)	3.09 ↓ (3.3)	2.67 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Búzios
36.7%

Draw
29.3%

Barra Mansa
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

27.7%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

27.8%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Búzios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Barra Mansa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Búzios than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barra Mansa than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Búzios - Barra Mansa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
75', 2 - 0, ⚽,
88', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca C (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca C (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In recent matches, Búzios has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Barra Mansa is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Búzios will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SE Búzios
Brazilian Carioca C
12.07.26	Búzios - Rio Barra	1:1 ✺
06.07.26	Rio Barra - Búzios	0:1 ✺
08.06.26	Búzios - Cardoso Moreira	0:2 ✺
31.05.26	EC Vera Cruz - Búzios	2:5 ✺
24.05.26	Búzios - Mageense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 TWLWT
- Barra Mansa FC
Brazilian Carioca C
12.07.26	Barra Mansa - Uni Souza	0:0 ✺
07.07.26	Uni Souza - Barra Mansa	0:0 ✺
03.07.26	Barra Mansa - Cardoso Moreira	2:2 ✺
07.06.26	Barra Mansa - Mageense	3:0 ✺
31.05.26	Barcelona RJ - Barra Mansa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTTWW

Búzios - Barra Mansa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide