Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 13

Date: 28 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Haradski Stadium (Barysaw)


	BATE 2		SKA-1938

	1	X	2
	4.4	4.05	1.47
	6.04	3.72	1.5	Watch
	5.4	4.7	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.28 ↑ (4.25)	4.16 ↑ (3.7)	1.45 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BATE 2
16.9%

Draw
21.5%

SKA-1938
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21%

24.1%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

23.5%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BATE 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

SKA-1938 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SKA-1938's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BATE 2 than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA-1938 than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SKA-1938, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Skopets A. (G) 7. Aliyev R. 17. Chernykh I. 66. Kisel V. 10. Kuimov I. 77. Kuzmenok Y. 47. Machnach E. 24. Mirskiy N. 14. Shakhnovich E. 68. Starikov E. 18. Yarmolich A.	1. Seledtsov D. (G) 10. Chul D. 3. Fedorovich F. 28. Knyshev N. 12. Konyakhin A. 9. Korytko M. 8. Lukashenko E. 18. Mazko A. 6. Prigodich V. 4. Royko D. 24. Slivin A.
Substitutes
5. Apanasevich A. 21. Feskov E. 6. Karpovich M. 27. Karshakevich D. 16. Klyakin M. (G) 44. Potapenko G. 4. Shcherbakov N. 45. Shreyn A. 8. Titov M. 9. Tolkach M.	25. Bobovik T. 21. Isaev T. 17. Kartoev A. 14. Kazakov I. 19. Kazlovskiy V. (G) 20. Kholyusev A. 7. Nikiforenko M. 27. Shaban Y. 5. Silkin R. 11. Zhlobich A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
6', Mazko A. ↓, Kartoev A. ↑,
8', 0 - 1, Chul D. ⚽, Slivin A. (A),
15', 0 - 2, Korytko M. (Penalty Awarded),
34', 0 - 3, Prigodich V. ⚽, Korytko M. (A),
39', Aliyev R. ↓, Titov M. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
54', Machnach E. ↓, Shcherbakov N. ↑,
54', Starikov E. ↓, Apanasevich A. ↑,
60', Lukashenko E. ↓, Nikiforenko M. ↑,
65', 0 - 4, Prigodich V. ⚽,
67', 1 - 4, Yarmolich A. ⚽, Apanasevich A. (A),
70', Yarmolich A. ↓, Karshakevich D. ↑,
70', Shakhnovich E. ↓, Tolkach M. ↑,
78', 2 - 4, Titov M. ⚽,
79', Korytko M. ↓, Kholyusev A. ↑,
80', Konyakhin A. ↓, Zhlobich A. ↑,
80', Slivin A. ↓, Silkin R. ↑,
83', Titov M. 🟨,
83', Kholyusev A. 🟨,
89', 3 - 4, Titov M. ⚽, Kuimov I. (A),

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Vysshaya Liga).

BATE 2 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

SKA-1938 is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, SKA-1938 is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	SKA-1938	27	16	5	6	56:31	25	53
16	BATE 2	27	5	7	15	36:61	-25	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BATE 2
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
21.06.26	Slutsk - BATE 2	2:0 ✺
14.06.26	BATE 2 - Dinamo Minsk 2	3:2 ✺
06.06.26	Ostrovets - BATE 2	0:0 ✺
01.06.26	BATE 2 - Slonim	2:5 ✺
22.05.26	Soligorsk - BATE 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWTLT
- SKA-1938 Minsk
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
21.06.26	SKA-1938 - Uni X Labs Minsk	4:0 ✺
Belarusian Cup
17.06.26	SKA-1938 - ML Vitebsk	3:5 AET ✺
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
13.06.26	Molodechno - SKA-1938	1:4 ✺
07.06.26	SKA-1938 - Gomel 2	1:1 ✺
30.05.26	Orsha - SKA-1938	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWTW

BATE 2 - SKA-1938: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide