Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 9

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Central City Stadium (Orsha)


	Orsha		SKA-1938

	1	X	2
	4.4	4.4	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.4 ↑ (4.3)	4.4 ↑ (4.2)	1.55 ↓ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orsha
20.7%

Draw
20.7%

SKA-1938
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

21.6%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

21.3%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orsha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

SKA-1938 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orsha than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA-1938 than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Volodkov A. (G) 8. Berezun I. 93. Bordukov P. 17. Kulesh Y. 82. Shalychev V. 11. Stain D. 5. Tarbyakov N. 9. Tikhomirov D. 19. Vekhtev N. 18. Volchenko N. 77. Zheleznikov G.	1. Seledtsov D. (G) 10. Chul D. 3. Fedorovich F. 28. Knyshev N. 12. Konyakhin A. 9. Korytko M. 16. Lisovskiy V. 18. Mazko A. 6. Prigodich V. 2. Sakovich A. 27. Slivin A.
Substitutes
7. Bobchenok N. 69. Bulakhov S. 14. Dambrovsky A. 80. Komarov Y. 52. Kravchenko R. (G) 16. Pashkevich M. 98. Romanov A. 88. Rudenok D.	25. Bobovik T. 21. Isaev T. 14. Kazakov I. 19. Kazlovskiy V. (G) 8. Lukashenko E. 7. Nikiforenko M. 4. Royko D. 24. Shaban Y. 5. Silkin R. 11. Zhlobich A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
78', 0 - 1, Korytko M. ⚽, Nikiforenko M. (A),
89', 0 - 2, Korytko M. ⚽, Lukashenko E. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Vysshaya Liga (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orsha won 0.

In recent matches, Orsha has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

SKA-1938 is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Orsha may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Orsha has had a series of away games.

In this match, SKA-1938 is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Orsha won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:14. (average 0.8:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Orsha won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	SKA-1938	27	16	5	6	56:31	25	53
14	Orsha	27	7	6	14	28:51	-23	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Orsha
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
23.05.26	Slutsk - Orsha	3:1 ✺
Belarusian Cup
20.05.26	Drut Belynichi - Orsha	0:7
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
08.05.26	Ostrovets - Orsha	1:2 ✺
01.05.26	Orsha - Slonim	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	BATE 2 - Orsha	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.1 LWWLW
- SKA-1938 Minsk
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
23.05.26	SKA-1938 - Volna Pinsk	3:1 ✺
Belarusian Cup
20.05.26	Minskaye Mora - SKA-1938	0:3
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
16.05.26	Smorgon - SKA-1938	0:1 ✺
10.05.26	SKA-1938 - BumProm Gomel	0:2 ✺
02.05.26	Minsk 2 - SKA-1938	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
27.10.24	SKA-1938 - Orsha	1:1
29.06.24	Orsha - SKA-1938	2:2
Belarusian Cup
28.08.20	Orsha - SKA-1938	1:6
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
01.09.18	Orsha - SKA-1938	0:1
05.05.18	SKA-1938 - Orsha	4:0
12.08.17	Orsha - SKA-1938	1:0

Orsha - SKA-1938: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide