Match Info

LITHUANIA: I Lyga - Round 10

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday


	BFA Vilnius		Banga Gargždai 2

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.2	6.75
	1.45	4.33	5.5	Watch
	1.42	4.65	5.3
	1.36	4.96	5.94
	1.36	4.87	7.13
	1.45	4.33	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.74)	4.56 ↑ (3.54)	6.02 ↑ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BFA Vilnius
64.9%

Draw
20%

Banga Gargždai 2
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

26.2%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

23.5%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BFA Vilnius has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in BFA Vilnius's performance.

Banga Gargždai 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Banga Gargždai 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BFA Vilnius than the current prediction. (-17.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with BFA Vilnius that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banga Gargždai 2 than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Banga Gargždai 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

BFA Vilnius - Banga Gargždai 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
76. Semaska U. (G) 5. Benevicius N. 25. Harapko P. 74. Indriulis A. 4. Kezunas A. 47. Korsakas A. (C) 10. Osipovic A. 89. Paulikas I. 66. Pranckus P. 6. Puzas D. 48. Sidlauskas A.	12. Grinkevicius L. (G) 77. Balasanov A. 44. Galbuogis G. 42. Griksas M. 86. Kasperavicius P. 14. Kirjanov E. 97. Luza A. 21. Pliuskys K. 87. Simkus N. 11. Smulkys E. 20. Toleikis K. (C)
Substitutes
8. Gackas A. 23. Garbaliauskas N. 1. Jancevskij A. (G) 7. Kodz D. 13. Mikoliunas K. 59. Urbanavicius K. 54. Vilkuotis R.	29. Griksas J. 80. Juska B. 45. Laugalys R. 25. Skruibys M. 43. Statkus A. 27. Straksys A. 54. Urbonas N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, ⚽,
42', 🟨,
45+3', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
71', 🟨,
72', 1 - 1, ⚽,
82', 2 - 1, ⚽,
88', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+2', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BFA Vilnius
Lithuanian Division 2
13.05.24	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - BFA Vilnius	2:0 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
07.05.24	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - BFA Vilnius	6:0 ✺
Lithuanian Division 2
04.05.24	BFA Vilnius - Riteriai	0:2 ✺
26.04.24	BE1 NFA Kaunas - BFA Vilnius	1:0 ✺
13.04.24	BFA Vilnius - Nevėžis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLW
- Banga Gargždai 2
Lithuanian Division 2
13.05.24	Banga Gargždai 2 - FA Šiauliai B	1:3 ✺
04.05.24	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Banga Gargždai 2	2:1 ✺
29.04.24	Banga Gargždai 2 - Panevėžys 2	1:2 ✺
19.04.24	Riteriai - Banga Gargždai 2	1:1 ✺
12.04.24	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Banga Gargždai 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
05.11.22	Banga Gargždai 2 - BFA Vilnius	3:0
03.07.22	BFA Vilnius - Banga Gargždai 2	3:0
25.09.21	Banga Gargždai 2 - BFA Vilnius	1:0
12.06.21	BFA Vilnius - Banga Gargždai 2	1:0

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