Match Info

LITHUANIA: I Lyga - Round 8

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday


	BFA Vilnius		Riteriai

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.6	1.65
	3.75	3.75	1.75
	4.28	3.85	1.63
	3.6	3.4	1.8
	4.61	4.16	1.6	Watch
	3.75	3.75	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.05 ↑ (2.78)	3.75 ↑ (3.3)	1.7 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BFA Vilnius
22.4%

Draw
24.2%

Riteriai
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

28.1%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

29.2%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BFA Vilnius has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that BFA Vilnius's form might have worsened.

Riteriai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Riteriai's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BFA Vilnius than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for BFA Vilnius, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riteriai than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Riteriai, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
76. Semaska U. (G) 11. Cizas M. 23. Garbaliauskas N. 74. Indriulis A. 4. Kezunas A. 7. Kodz D. 47. Korsakas A. (C) 10. Osipovic A. 89. Paulikas I. 66. Pranckus P. 48. Sidlauskas A.	1. Vitkauskas A. (C) 10. Civilka S. 4. Gumbaravicius G. 11. Kaulinis A. 23. Kazakevicius A. 17. Rimpa D. 5. Rutkovskis M. 2. Stankevicius N. 8. Sveistrys A. 24. Usavicius J. 77. Zdanovic E. J.
Substitutes
26. Ambrusevic K. 5. Benevicius N. 8. Gackas A. 25. Harapko P. 1. Jancevskij A. (G) 6. Puzas D. 59. Urbanavicius K. 53. Vilkuotis R.	79. Kozhevnikov O. 84. Lipinskas D. 99. Matuskevicius D. (G) 9. Onah E. 12. Petkus N. 15. Stankevicius K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Paulikas I. 🟨,
25', Sidlauskas A. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Usavicius J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', 🟨,
66', 0 - 2, ⚽,
80', 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A Lyga (Promotion: )).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Riteriai could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BFA Vilnius
Lithuanian Division 2
26.04.24	BE1 NFA Kaunas - BFA Vilnius	1:0 ✺
13.04.24	BFA Vilnius - Nevėžis	2:1 ✺
05.04.24	Neptūnas - BFA Vilnius	2:2 ✺
30.03.24	BFA Vilnius - Babrungas Plungė	3:2 ✺
23.03.24	Minija Kretinga - BFA Vilnius	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LWTWW
- FK Riteriai
Lithuanian Division 2
27.04.24	Riteriai - FA Šiauliai B	3:0 ✺
19.04.24	Riteriai - Banga Gargždai 2	1:1 ✺
15.04.24	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Riteriai	2:1 ✺
06.04.24	Riteriai - Panevėžys 2	4:3 ✺
30.03.24	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Riteriai	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WTLWW

BFA Vilnius - Riteriai: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide