Match Info

I Lyga - Round 9

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Sirvintu stadionas (Sirvintos)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	BFA Vilnius		Transinvest

	1	X	2
	4.6	3.7	1.57
				Watch
	4.95	4.08	1.52
	5.04	4.31	1.52	Watch
	5.26	4.3	1.48
	3.6	3.55	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.69 ↑ (3.48)	3.99 ↑ (3.71)	1.58 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BFA Vilnius
19.5%

Draw
22.9%

Transinvest
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

24.6%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

24.1%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BFA Vilnius has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that BFA Vilnius's form might have worsened.

Transinvest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Transinvest's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BFA Vilnius than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for BFA Vilnius, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Transinvest than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Transinvest, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

BFA Vilnius - Transinvest Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
76. Semaska U. (G) 23. Garbaliauskas N. 4. Kezunas A. 7. Miranda N. 24. Misiunas D. 11. Novikovas A. 10. Osipovic A. 89. Paulikas I. (C) 9. Perveinis M. 5. Petrauskas D. 66. Pranckus P.	99. Matuskevicius D. (G) 31. Carlos Eduardo 49. Cesinha 2. Civilis A. 8. Glushach Y. 12. Kaskelevicius I. 9. Nwoga C. 77. Pilibaitis L. (C) 10. Radchenko A. 5. Sveikauskas R. 26. Tamasevicius A.
Substitutes
90. Cesnauskis D. 77. Jurevicius Z. 13. Mikoliunas K. 99. Misiunas I. 19. Paulauskas K. 12. Ramanauskas E. (G) 34. Tomulevicius T. 22. Urbanavicius K. 53. Vilkuotis R.	24. Cerniavskij E. (G) 19. Fedorov A. 7. Felipe Souza 23. Kazakevicius A. 22. Lubas J. 61. Onuskevicius G. 11. Petkus N. 44. Zulpa A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Nwoga C. ⚽,
45+1', Cesinha 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 0 - 2, ⚽,
51', 🟨,
63', 1 - 2, ⚽,
64', 🟨,
68', 🟨,
72', 🟨,
74', 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A Lyga (Promotion: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A Lyga).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Transinvest could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, BFA won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).

Including home match between the teams, BFA won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BFA Vilnius
Lithuanian Division 2
11.05.25	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - BFA Vilnius	4:1 ✺
03.05.25	BFA Vilnius - Minija Kretinga	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	FA Šiauliai B - BFA Vilnius	0:4 ✺
18.04.25	BFA Vilnius - Panevėžys 2	2:2 ✺
04.04.25	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - BFA Vilnius	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWWTW
- FK Transinvest
Lithuanian Division 2
10.05.25	Transinvest - Ekranas	2:0 ✺
03.05.25	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Transinvest	1:2 ✺
26.04.25	Transinvest - Nevėžis	3:1 ✺
19.04.25	Tauras Tauragė - Transinvest	3:1 ✺
05.04.25	Transinvest - Neptūnas	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
01.11.23	BFA Vilnius - Transinvest	1:4
27.05.23	Transinvest - BFA Vilnius	2:0

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