Match Info

I Lyga - Round 7

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Sirvintu stadionas (Sirvintos)


	BFA Vilnius		Minija Kretinga

	1	X	2
	1.28	5.25	7.75
	1.33	4.9	6.8	Watch
	1.37	5.2	5.34
	1.36	5.25	6.17	Watch
	1.31	4.85	7.75
	1.33	4.9	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.27)	5.06 ↓ (5.43)	6.77 ↓ (8.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BFA Vilnius
68.5%

Draw
18%

Minija Kretinga
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.8%

16.8%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BFA Vilnius has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Minija Kretinga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

BFA Vilnius - Minija Kretinga Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
76. Semaska U. (G) 23. Garbaliauskas N. 4. Kezunas A. 24. Misiunas D. 10. Osipovic A. 89. Paulikas I. (C) 9. Perveinis M. 5. Petrauskas D. 66. Pranckus P. 48. Sidlauskas A. 22. Urbanavicius K.	1. Tek D. A. (G) 15. Diawara M. 25. Gunji K. 7. Kasparavicius J. 21. Kazlauskas V. (C) 5. Kirjanov E. 20. Lubys O. 8. Pipiras D. 30. Sabitu T. 6. Sidibe M. A. 9. Velyvis M.
Substitutes
90. Cesnauskis D. 77. Jurevicius Z. 13. Mikoliunas K. 7. Miranda N. 11. Novikovas A. 12. Ramanauskas E. (G) 34. Tomulevicius T. 53. Vilkuotis R.	27. Aziz Romba A. 14. Baltmiskis M. 43. Diawara B. 2. Drazdas L. (G) 18. Dumbuya I. 17. Ellah C. 23. Jankauskas J. 19. Keblys M. 16. Maiga M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 🟨,
53', 🟨,
61', 🟨,
62', 🟨,
69', 🟨,
80', 🟨,
80', 1 - 0, ⚽,
84', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A Lyga (Promotion: ) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, BFA won 2.

BFA has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Minija's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Minija may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, BFA is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that BFA will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, BFA won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:20. (average 1.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, BFA won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 2:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BFA Vilnius
Lithuanian Division 2
27.04.25	FA Šiauliai B - BFA Vilnius	0:4 ✺
18.04.25	BFA Vilnius - Panevėžys 2	2:2 ✺
04.04.25	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - BFA Vilnius	1:2 ✺
28.03.25	BFA Vilnius - Kauno Žalgiris 2	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Jonava - BFA Vilnius	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTWWW
- Minija Kretinga
Lithuanian Cup
29.04.25	Nevėžis - Minija Kretinga	1:3 ✺
Lithuanian Division 2
26.04.25	Minija Kretinga - Ekranas	1:3 ✺
19.04.25	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Minija Kretinga	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Minija Kretinga - Nevėžis	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Tauras Tauragė - Minija Kretinga	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
17.08.24	BFA Vilnius - Minija Kretinga	1:1
23.03.24	Minija Kretinga - BFA Vilnius	0:1
28.10.23	BFA Vilnius - Minija Kretinga	2:0
10.06.23	Minija Kretinga - BFA Vilnius	1:1
30.09.22	BFA Vilnius - Minija Kretinga	2:3
10.08.22	Minija Kretinga - BFA Vilnius	3:1
03.08.21	Minija Kretinga - BFA Vilnius	3:0

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