The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
BKMA Yerevan 34.2%
Draw 29.8%
Gandzasar 36.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.2%
29.4%
36.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.6%
29.7%
36%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for BKMA Yerevan have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Gandzasar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for BKMA Yerevan than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gandzasar than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
BKMA Yerevan - Gandzasar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
77. Davtyan D. (G) 4. Avetisyan M. 5. Manukyan P. 14. Krmzyan P. 3. Arakelyan G. 13. Sargsyan H. 9. Ayvazyan M. 11. Harutyunyan D. 35. Alekyan P. 7. Hovhannisyan N. 10. Petrosyan G. (C)
1. Matevosyan G. (G) 15. Mensah A. 5. Kanda S. 4. Voskanyan T. 22. Martirosyan Y. 6. Ahouangbo M. 14. Emmanuel O. C. 11. Alaverdyan N. 23. Andrioli Rodrigues L. 10. Petrosyan L. 7. Mani B.
Substitutes
17. Abrahamyan R. 52. Arakelyan A. 41. Asatryan M. 19. Galstyan A. 91. Ghazaryan H. (G) 49. Khachatryan A. 51. Kirakosyan S. 47. Manukyan H. 55. Movsesyan A. 8. Movsisyan S. 23. Petrosyan A. 6. Petrosyan A.
17. Davtyan D. 88. Kalmarzy A. 19. Katoh H. 77. Khachatryan A. 21. Lizalda E. 31. Lobusov N. (G) 12. Manasyan R. (G) 2. Manukyan P. 38. Michael Quarcoo 47. Nkumba F. 79. Nobrega J. 20. Obonde S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Hovhannisyan N. ⚽,
15', Krmzyan P. 🟨,
16', Krmzyan P. 🟥,
24', Harutyunyan D. ↓, Petrosyan A. ↑,
44', 1 - 1, Andrioli Rodrigues L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Petrosyan L. ↓, Nkumba F. ↑,
46', Mani B. ↓, Lizalda E. ↑,
46', Voskanyan T. ↓, Obonde S. ↑,
61', Petrosyan G. ↓, Khachatryan A. ↑,
61', Alekyan P. ↓, Kirakosyan S. ↑,
68', Alaverdyan N. 🟨,
71', Alaverdyan N. ↓, Davtyan D. ↑,
71', Ahouangbo M. ↓, Nobrega J. ↑,
83', Davtyan D. 🟨,
Preview
BKMA has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Gandzasar's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Gandzasar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, BKMA won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, BKMA won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).