Match Info

Premier League - Round 7

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Gandzasar (Kapan)


	Gandzasar		Ararat

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.20	2.80
	2.22	3.20	2.80
	2.19	3.59	2.91
	2.15	3.38	2.94	Watch
	2.16	3.30	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.95)	3.33 ↓ (3.46)	2.86 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gandzasar
41.3%

Draw
27.1%

Ararat
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

26.1%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

24.3%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gandzasar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Ararat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gandzasar than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gandzasar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ararat than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ararat, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gandzasar - Ararat Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Davtyan D. (G) 14. Ahouangbo M. 6. Atila 18. Avanesyan A. (C) 11. Joao Adriano 55. Kanda S. 8. Lizalda E. 7. Mani B. 2. Mikhayelyan A. 21. Reis L. 33. Robson	1. Anzimati-Aboudou A. (G) 8. Alekyan P. 30. Aslanyan A. 18. Berte M. 6. Chukwu O. 10. Grigoryan A. (C) 7. Handzongo P. 33. Haroyan V. 3. Khachumyan A. 55. Lima G. 17. Movsesyan E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Movsesyan E. (Penalty Awarded),
37', 🟨,
45+8', (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', 🟨,
64', 🟨,
86', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+5', 0 - 2, Kante M. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gandzasar won 3.

Gandzasar has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ararat is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ararat may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Gandzasar might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gandzasar won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 41:18. (average 2.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Gandzasar won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Ararat	8	3	0	5	6:13	-7	9
11	FC Gandzasar	8	1	0	7	8:20	-12	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gandzasar FC
Armenian Premier League
04.09.26	Noah Yerevan - Gandzasar	3:2 ✺
30.08.26	Gandzasar - BKMA Yerevan	0:3 ✺
21.08.26	Alashkert - Gandzasar	3:0 ✺
14.08.26	Gandzasar - Shirak Gyumri	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Gandzasar - Ararat-Armenia	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Ararat Yerevan
Armenian Premier League
05.09.26	Ararat - Ararat-Armenia	0:1 ✺
30.08.26	Noah Yerevan - Ararat	4:0 ✺
21.08.26	Ararat - Pyunik	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	BKMA Yerevan - Ararat	1:2 ✺
07.08.26	Ararat - Sardarapat	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Armenian Premier League
21.03.26	Gandzasar - Ararat	2:1
14.03.26	Ararat - Gandzasar	0:2
01.08.25	Gandzasar - Ararat	1:1
Armenian Cup
02.10.24	Ararat - Gandzasar	1:2 penalties
Armenian Premier League
10.08.24	Gandzasar - Ararat	0:2
18.10.20	Ararat - Gandzasar	2:1
22.11.19	Ararat - Gandzasar	1:1

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