Match Info

Merkantil Bank Liga - Round 27

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Szőnyi úti Stadion (Budapest)


	BVSC-Zugló		Tatabánya

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.2	3.25
	1.97	3.3	3.45
	2.09	3.28	3.46
	2.09	3.32	3.49
	2.04	3.2	3.39
	1.97	3.3	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.92)	3.27 ↓ (3.38)	3.42 ↓ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BVSC-Zugló
45.2%

Draw
28%

Tatabánya
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

26.9%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

24.4%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BVSC-Zugló has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Tatabánya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BVSC-Zugló than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tatabánya than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

BVSC Zugló - Tatabánya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Megyeri G. (G) 15. Benko-Biro N. 25. Kiraly A. 77. Kocsis B. 88. Mucsanyi M. 44. Nwachukwu D. 70. Pekar L. 13. Szekely K. 8. Szilagyi M. 5. Ureche A. 90. Vinicius	42. Bese B. (G) 3. Arvai D. 48. Csernik K. 6. Derekas Z. 30. Deutsch B. 66. Eordogh A. 33. Harsanyi D. 26. Jagodics M. 28. Lapu A. 14. Ovari Z. 10. Szegleti G.
Substitutes
20. Bacsa P. 55. Batai T. 22. Erdelyi B. (G) 10. Kelemen P. 47. Kovacs A. 30. Kovacs D. 2. Majer G. 19. Nemes M. 12. Petroff Z. (G) 24. Szilagyi Z. 6. Toth K.	19. Buna G. 23. Forro G. 32. Jelena R. 7. Kiprich D. 22. Kulcsar M. 21. Letenyei Z. 16. Loth P. (G) 20. Mascoe N. 8. Soltesz B. 75. Varga D. 17. Vass P. 77. Vida K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Kiraly A. 🟨,
36', Csernik K. ↓, Vida K. ↑,
36', Szegleti G. ↓, Vass P. ↑,
40', Derekas Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Kocsis B. ↓, Batai T. ↑,
48', 1 - 0, Szekely K. ⚽,
57', Harsanyi D. ↓, Mascoe N. ↑,
57', Ovari Z. ↓, Jelena R. ↑,
62', 2 - 0, Nwachukwu D. ⚽,
64', Mucsanyi M. ↓, Toth K. ↑,
64', Nwachukwu D. ↓, Kelemen P. ↑,
78', 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by BVSC-Zugló have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tatabánya is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

BVSC-Zugló will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, BVSC-Zugló won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, BVSC-Zugló won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BVSC-Zugló
Hungarian NB II
27.04.25	Budafoki - BVSC-Zugló	2:2 ✺
21.04.25	BVSC-Zugló - Vasas	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	Kisvárda - BVSC-Zugló	3:2 ✺
06.04.25	BVSC-Zugló - Budapest Honved	1:2 ✺
30.03.25	Szeged 2011 - BVSC-Zugló	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TWLLT
- FC Tatabánya
Hungarian NB II
27.04.25	Tatabánya - Csákvári	2:2 ✺
20.04.25	Mezőkövesd-Zsóry - Tatabánya	4:2 ✺
13.04.25	Tatabánya - Soroksár	0:0 ✺
06.04.25	Ajka - Tatabánya	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Tatabánya - Kozármisleny	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB II
03.11.24	Tatabánya - BVSC-Zugló	2:1
Club Friendly
10.07.24	Tatabánya - BVSC-Zugló	0:1
Hungarian NB III West
27.03.22	BVSC-Zugló - Tatabánya	1:0
22.09.21	Tatabánya - BVSC-Zugló	0:2

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