Match Info

Date: 7 December 2020, Monday


	Bačka		Metalac

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.25	3.1
	2.15	3.3	3
	2.1	3.2	2.9
	2.16	3.1	3
	2.21	3.48	3.22
	2.15	3.2	3.1
	2.21	3.25	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.42)	3.25 ↑ (3.13)	3.05 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bačka
42.2%

Draw
28%

Metalac
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

29%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

21.3%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bačka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Metalac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bačka than the current prediction. (-14.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bačka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metalac than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metalac could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bačka - Metalac Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation to Prva Liga and 8).

Bačka has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Metalac is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bačka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Metalac have a series of home games.

Bačka will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bačka won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Bačka won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bačka Bačka Palanka
Serbian Superliga
29.11.20	Novi Pazar - Bačka	0:0 ✺
22.11.20	Zlatibor Čajetina - Bačka	1:0 ✺
07.11.20	Bačka - Rad	0:1 ✺
30.10.20	Vojvodina - Bačka	3:1 ✺
25.10.20	Bačka - Inđija	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLLLL
- Metalac Gornji Milanovac
Serbian Superliga
03.12.20	Rad - Metalac	1:1 ✺
29.11.20	Metalac - Zlatibor Čajetina	2:0 ✺
Serbian Cup
25.11.20	Metalac - Partizan	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.11.20	Metalac - Javor Ivanjica	3:4 ✺
Serbian Superliga
06.11.20	Metalac - Vojvodina	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Prva Liga
18.11.19	Bačka - Metalac	3:1
24.08.19	Metalac - Bačka	2:0
Serbian Superliga
23.04.17	Metalac - Bačka	2:1
04.03.17	Metalac - Bačka	0:1
17.09.16	Bačka - Metalac	1:0

Bačka - Metalac: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide