Match Info

Date: 19 September 2020, Saturday


	Bačka		Napredak Kruševac

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.4	4.75
	1.8	3.3	4.2
	1.89	3	3.65
	1.78	3.2	4.5
	1.84	3.3	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.98)	3.24 ↓ (3.28)	4.25 ↑ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bačka
50.6%

Draw
28%

Napredak Kruševac
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

27.8%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

19.9%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bačka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Napredak Kruševac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bačka than the current prediction. (-17.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bačka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napredak Kruševac than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Napredak Kruševac could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bačka - Napredak Kruševac Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation to Prva Liga and 19 in the zone Relegation to Prva Liga).

Recent matches Bačka is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Napredak is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bačka will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Bačka won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Bačka won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bačka Bačka Palanka
Serbian Superliga
13.09.20	Mladost Lučani - Bačka	2:1 ✺
29.08.20	Bačka - Voždovac	2:1 ✺
22.08.20	Čukarički - Bačka	1:0 ✺
16.08.20	Bačka - Bačka Topola	1:1 ✺
09.08.20	Proleter Novi Sad - Bačka	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWLTT
- Napredak Kruševac
Serbian Superliga
13.09.20	Napredak Kruševac - Zlatibor Čajetina	1:1 ✺
29.08.20	Rad - Napredak Kruševac	3:1 ✺
23.08.20	Napredak Kruševac - Vojvodina	0:1 ✺
15.08.20	Inđija - Napredak Kruševac	1:0 ✺
09.08.20	Napredak Kruševac - Radnik Surdulica	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga
30.11.18	Bačka - Napredak Kruševac	3:3
04.08.18	Napredak Kruševac - Bačka	1:1
29.11.17	Napredak Kruševac - Bačka	1:1
09.08.17	Bačka - Napredak Kruševac	1:4
13.04.17	Napredak Kruševac - Bačka	2:0
05.11.16	Bačka - Napredak Kruševac	1:3

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