Match Info

Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 17

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: TSC Arena (Bačka Topola)

Referee: Zivkovic A. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Serbia	Arena Sport 1


	Bačka Topola		Radnik Surdulica

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.9	Watch
	2.3	3.2	2.92
	2.31	3.3	3.08
	1.88	3.50	3.97	Watch
	2.34	3.23	3.02	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.9)	3.24 ↓ (3.5)	3.17 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bačka Topola
41.9%

Draw
28.7%

Radnik Surdulica
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

27.1%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

27.3%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bačka Topola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bačka Topola's form might have worsened.

Radnik Surdulica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Radnik Surdulica's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bačka Topola than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bačka Topola, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radnik Surdulica than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Radnik Surdulica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Bačka Topola - Radnik Surdulica Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Bačka Topola will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Radnik will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bačka Topola (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Simic N. (C) 22. Jovanovic S. 4. Krstic V. 5. Roux B. 72. Urosevic S. 18. Jovicic B. 42. Tomovic S. 8. Jovanovic S. 10. Todoroski A. 7. Radin M. 9. Petrovic B.	99. Randjelovic S. (G) 66. Gasic M. (C) 6. Stojanovic D. 18. Tremoulet S. 37. Abubakar S. 5. Popovic M. 28. Pejovic A. 7. Owusu D. 4. Hajdarevic H. 88. Jovanovic D. 77. Chinedu S.
Substitutes
31. Capan L. 77. Conraad T. 32. Degenek M. 20. Dimoski B. 23. Jorgic N. (G) 29. Mboungou V. 26. Mezei S. 17. Milosavic M. 15. Mladenovic S. 21. Savic D. 11. Singh S.	33. Blagojevic U. 11. Duronjic B. 21. Filipovic U. 25. Lakic T. 49. Markocevic D. 30. Novakovic M. 8. Puzovic L. 47. Quarshie E. 23. Radojicic L. (G) 80. Raskovic S. 24. Stevanovic M.
Coaches
Miljanovic N.	Jaksic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Jovanovic D. ⚽, Hajdarevic H. (A),
30', Jovanovic S. 🟨,
43', Chinedu S. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Tomovic S. ↓, Mladenovic S. ↑,
51', Urosevic S. 🟨,
61', 0 - 2, Owusu D. ⚽, Pejovic A. (A),
63', Jovicic B. ↓, Mezei S. ↑,
63', Todoroski A. ↓, Conraad T. ↑,
65', Mezei S. 🟨,
67', Jovanovic S. 🟨,
71', Jovanovic S. ↓, Mboungou V. ↑,
75', Hajdarevic H. 🟨,
80', Owusu D. ↓, Markocevic D. ↑,
81', Pejovic A. ↓, Stevanovic M. ↑,
82', Radin M. ↓, Singh S. ↑,
86', Jovanovic D. ↓, Duronjic B. ↑,
90+1', Hajdarevic H. ↓, Filipovic U. ↑,
90+3', Stojanovic D. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bačka Topola won 4.

Bačka Topola is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Radnik is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bačka Topola may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Bačka Topola has had a series of away games.

Recently, Radnik has had a series of home games.

Bačka Topola could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Bačka Topola won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Bačka Topola won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSC Bačka Topola
Serbian Superliga
23.11.25	Radnički Niš - Bačka Topola	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	IMT Novi Beograd - Bačka Topola	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Bačka Topola - Napredak Kruševac	1:1 ✺
Serbian Cup
29.10.25	Grafičar Beograd - Bačka Topola	2:0 ✺
Serbian Superliga
25.10.25	Radnički 1923 - Bačka Topola	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TTTLL
- Radnik Surdulica
Serbian Superliga
21.11.25	Radnik Surdulica - Vojvodina	3:1 ✺
08.11.25	Radnik Surdulica - OFK Beograd	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Radnik Surdulica	1:1 ✺
Serbian Cup
29.10.25	Radnik Surdulica - IMT Novi Beograd	0:1 ✺
Serbian Superliga
25.10.25	Radnik Surdulica - Spartak Subotica	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 47.2 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga
26.07.25	Radnik Surdulica - Bačka Topola	0:0
18.02.24	Bačka Topola - Radnik Surdulica	1:0
01.09.23	Radnik Surdulica - Bačka Topola	0:1
02.04.23	Radnik Surdulica - Bačka Topola	0:1
01.10.22	Bačka Topola - Radnik Surdulica	2:1
02.03.22	Bačka Topola - Radnik Surdulica	0:0
24.11.21	Radnik Surdulica - Bačka Topola	2:1

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