Match Info

SERBIA: SERBIAN CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 18 October 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Serbia	Arena Sport


	Smederevo		Bačka Topola

	1	X	2
				Watch
	11	6	1.18
	15	6	1.16	Watch
	12.68	5.91	1.17
	15	6	1.14
	14.5	6.25	1.15
	13	5.8	1.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	13.53 ↑ (8.3)	5.99 ↑ (4.6)	1.16 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Smederevo
6.7%

Draw
15.2%

Bačka Topola
78.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.9%

19.7%

69.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.9%

15.4%

54.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Smederevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Bačka Topola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bačka Topola's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smederevo than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Smederevo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bačka Topola than the current prediction. (-23.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bačka Topola, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Smederevo - Bačka Topola Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Smederevo will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Bačka Topola will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

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Preview

Smederevo is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Bačka Topola is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bačka Topola could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bačka Topola is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Smederevo
Serbian Prva Liga
15.10.23	Smederevo - OFK Beograd	1:2 ✺
09.10.23	Grafičar Beograd - Smederevo	1:2 ✺
01.10.23	Smederevo - Novi Sad 1921	1:0 ✺
23.09.23	Smederevo - Radnički Beograd	2:1 ✺
18.09.23	Jedinstvo Ub - Smederevo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LWWWT
- TSC Bačka Topola
Serbian Superliga
08.10.23	Bačka Topola - Spartak Subotica	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
05.10.23	Bačka Topola - Olympiacos Piraeus	2:2 ✺
Serbian Superliga
30.09.23	Mladost Lučani - Bačka Topola	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
21.09.23	West Ham United - Bačka Topola	3:1 ✺
Serbian Superliga
16.09.23	Bačka Topola - Železničar Pančevo	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTTLW

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