Match Info

Mozzart Serbian Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion FK Smederevo (Smederevo) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bosnia And Herzegovina	13:00	Arena Premium 3
Kosovo	13:00	Arena Premium 3
North Macedonia	13:00	Arena Premium 3
Serbia	13:00	Arena Premium 3


	Smederevo		Bačka Topola

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.90	3.25	2.10
	2.95	3.35	2.05	Watch
	3.01	3.53	2.12
	2.93	3.46	2.16	Watch
	2.85	3.45	2.03
	2.75	3.67	2.3
	3.05	3.5	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.62)	3.46 ↑ (3.44)	2.13 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Smederevo
31.1%

Draw
26.2%

Bačka Topola
42.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.1%

26%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

25.9%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Smederevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Bačka Topola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smederevo than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bačka Topola than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Smederevo - Bačka Topola Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Mitrovic J. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Stojsavljevic L. ⚽,
44', 2 - 1, Popov A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
60', 2 - 2, Petrovic A. ⚽,
73', 2 - 3, Milosavic M. (Penalty Awarded),
90+9', Durdevic L. 🟥,

Preview

Smederevo has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Bačka Topola is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Smederevo has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:2 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Smederevo against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.

Last Results with these Odds

Smederevo - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 34.13%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Smederevo
Serbian Prva Liga
23.10.26	Dubočica - Smederevo	1:0 ✺
17.10.26	Smederevo - Proleter 023	1:1 ✺
12.10.26	Loznica - Smederevo	1:0 ✺
05.10.26	Smederevo - Voždovac	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	Smederevo - Vršac	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLWW
- TSC Bačka Topola
Serbian Prva Liga
23.10.26	Teleoptik - Bačka Topola	1:2 ✺
17.10.26	Bačka Topola - Metalac	5:1 ✺
11.10.26	Bor 1919 - Bačka Topola	1:4 ✺
05.10.26	Bačka Topola - Grafičar Beograd	4:1 ✺
26.09.26	Borac Čačak - Bačka Topola	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Prva Liga
30.08.26	Bačka Topola - Smederevo	1:1
Serbian Cup
18.10.23	Smederevo - Bačka Topola	2:1 penalties

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