Match Info

Date: 22 December 2020, Tuesday


	Baadraan Tehran		Fajr Sepasi

	1	X	2
	1.65	2.95	6
	1.61	3.15	4.8
	1.69	2.85	5.4
	1.75	2.89	5.85
	1.62	3.25	5.25
	1.74	3.36	4.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.72)	3.08 ↓ (3.3)	5.33 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baadraan Tehran
53.8%

Draw
29.3%

Fajr Sepasi
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

27.3%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

18.4%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baadraan Tehran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Fajr Sepasi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baadraan Tehran than the current prediction. (-18.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Baadraan Tehran that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fajr Sepasi than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fajr Sepasi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Baadraan Tehran - Fajr Sepasi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 8).

Baadraan Tehran is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Fajr Sepasi is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Baadraan Tehran is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Baadraan Tehran won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Baadraan Tehran won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baadraan Tehran
Iran Division 1
16.12.20	Havadar - Baadraan Tehran	1:2 ✺
10.12.20	Baadraan Tehran - Shahrdari Astara	1:0 ✺
05.12.20	Arman Gohar - Baadraan Tehran	0:0 ✺
29.11.20	Baadraan Tehran - Kheybar Khorramabad	1:0 ✺
22.11.20	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Baadraan Tehran	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWTWL
- Fajr Sepasi
Iran Division 1
16.12.20	Fajr Sepasi - Pars Jonoubi Jam	0:0 ✺
10.12.20	Mes Kerman - Fajr Sepasi	0:2 ✺
05.12.20	Fajr Sepasi - Navad Urmia	1:0 ✺
30.11.20	Shahrdari Astara - Fajr Sepasi	1:0 ✺
22.11.20	Fajr Sepasi - Khoosheh Talai	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
19.07.20	Baadraan Tehran - Fajr Sepasi	3:1
15.11.19	Fajr Sepasi - Baadraan Tehran	1:1
04.04.19	Fajr Sepasi - Baadraan Tehran	0:0
18.11.18	Baadraan Tehran - Fajr Sepasi	0:1
07.01.18	Baadraan Tehran - Fajr Sepasi	0:0
07.03.17	Fajr Sepasi - Baadraan Tehran	0:0

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