Match Info

Regionalliga Nordost - Round 28

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday


	Babelsberg		Hertha Zehlendorf

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.95	4.35
	1.63	4.15	4.52
	1.74	4	3.8
	1.6	3.92	4.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.88)	4.01 ↑ (3.74)	4.3 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Babelsberg
55.6%

Draw
23%

Hertha Zehlendorf
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

24.4%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

24.1%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Babelsberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Babelsberg's performance.

Hertha Zehlendorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hertha Zehlendorf might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Babelsberg than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Babelsberg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hertha Zehlendorf than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hertha Zehlendorf could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Babelsberg - Hertha Zehlendorf Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Queisser L. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
71', 2 - 0, Schmidt T. (Penalty Awarded),
76', 3 - 0, Didoss G. ⚽,
82', 4 - 0, Zeiger P. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Babelsberg won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Babelsberg has had a series of home games.

Babelsberg might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Babelsberg won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:9. (average 2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Babelsberg won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Babelsberg	11	3	3	5	14:17	-3	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Babelsberg 03
German Regionalliga Nordost
01.04.26	Babelsberg - Berliner FC Dynamo	2:2 ✺
27.03.26	Babelsberg - Chemie Leipzig	5:0 ✺
21.03.26	Babelsberg - Lokomotive Leipzig	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Altglienicke - Babelsberg	1:1 ✺
06.03.26	Babelsberg - Eilenburg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWLTW
- Hertha Zehlendorf
German Regionalliga Nordost
01.04.26	Hertha Zehlendorf - Carl Zeiss Jena	0:3 ✺
25.03.26	Lokomotive Leipzig - Hertha Zehlendorf	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Hertha Zehlendorf - Eilenburg	0:0 ✺
13.03.26	Zwickau - Hertha Zehlendorf	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Hertha Zehlendorf - Luckenwalde	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
05.10.25	Hertha Zehlendorf - Babelsberg	3:3
31.01.25	Babelsberg - Hertha Zehlendorf	2:1
09.08.24	Hertha Zehlendorf - Babelsberg	2:1
Club Friendly
12.07.23	Babelsberg - Hertha Zehlendorf	3:2
28.07.20	Babelsberg - Hertha Zehlendorf	3:1
06.07.19	Babelsberg - Hertha Zehlendorf	0:0

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