Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga Nordost - Round 6

Date: 1 September 2024, Sunday


	Babelsberg		Plauen

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.33	5.75
	1.45	4.5	6
	1.55	4.01	5.15
	1.45	4.5	5.71	Watch
	1.42	4.33	6.19
	1.45	4.5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 (1.46)	4.36 ↑ (4.25)	5.8 ↑ (5.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Babelsberg
63.1%

Draw
21.1%

Plauen
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

21.5%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

19.4%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Babelsberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Plauen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Babelsberg than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Babelsberg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plauen than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Babelsberg - Plauen Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Babelsberg will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
63', 1 - 0, Keller S. ⚽,
81', 2 - 0, Frahn D. ⚽,
89', 2 - 1, Martynets J. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Babelsberg is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Plauen is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Plauen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Babelsberg is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Babelsberg won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Babelsberg won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Babelsberg 03
German Regionalliga Nordost
25.08.24	Chemnitzer - Babelsberg	2:3 ✺
21.08.24	Babelsberg - Greifswald	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.24	Hansa Rostock II - Babelsberg	0:0 ✺
German Regionalliga Nordost
09.08.24	Hertha Zehlendorf - Babelsberg	2:1 ✺
03.08.24	Babelsberg - Berliner FC Dynamo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLTLT
- Plauen
German Regionalliga Nordost
24.08.24	Plauen - Carl Zeiss Jena	1:4 ✺
20.08.24	Zwickau - Plauen	3:0 ✺
09.08.24	Plauen - Hertha Berlin II	2:1 ✺
02.08.24	Hallescher - Plauen	1:1 ✺
28.07.24	Plauen - Viktoria 1889 Berlin	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
08.11.14	Babelsberg - Plauen	0:0
21.04.14	Babelsberg - Plauen	1:2
20.10.13	Plauen - Babelsberg	2:2

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