Match Info

AUSTRIA: REGIONALLIGA CENTRAL - ROUND 20

Date: 29 March 2024, Friday


	Bad Gleichenberg		ASK Voitsberg

	1	X	2
	8.25	5.5	1.24
	8.5	5.5	1.25
	7.79	6.13	1.25
	7.79	6.13	1.25
	7	4.75	1.33
	9.05	5.75	1.23
	8.2	5.6	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.08 ↑ (5.5)	5.62 ↑ (4.45)	1.26 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bad Gleichenberg
11.3%

Draw
16.2%

ASK Voitsberg
72.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.6%

20.5%

62.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.9%

19.6%

65.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bad Gleichenberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bad Gleichenberg's form might have worsened.

ASK Voitsberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ASK Voitsberg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bad Gleichenberg than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ASK Voitsberg than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ASK Voitsberg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
5', 0 - 1, Suppan M. ⚽,
9', 0 - 2, Krienzer M. ⚽,
19', 0 - 3, Zuna P. ⚽,
22', 0 - 4, Zuna P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
65', 1 - 4, Schleich S. ⚽,
82', 1 - 5, Krienzer M. ⚽,
90', 1 - 6, Rother A. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Liga).

Bad Gleichenberg is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Voitsberg is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bad Gleichenberg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Voitsberg have a series of home games.

In this match Voitsberg is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bad Gleichenberg won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TuS Bad Gleichenberg
Austrian Regionalliga Central
22.03.24	Vorwärts Steyr - Bad Gleichenberg	3:2 ✺
16.03.24	Ried II - Bad Gleichenberg	4:4 ✺
08.03.24	Bad Gleichenberg - Gleisdorf	1:1 ✺
01.03.24	Wallern-Marienkirchen - Bad Gleichenberg	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
20.02.24	Bad Gleichenberg - Kalsdorf	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTTLL
- ASK Voitsberg
Austrian Regionalliga Central
22.03.24	ASK Voitsberg - Gleisdorf	1:1 ✺
08.03.24	ASK Voitsberg - LASK II	3:0 ✺
01.03.24	SC Weiz - ASK Voitsberg	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
23.02.24	ASK Voitsberg - Srednja Bistrica	5:1 ✺
13.02.24	ASK Voitsberg - Weinland Gamlitz	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Regionalliga Central
25.08.23	ASK Voitsberg - Bad Gleichenberg	4:1

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