Match Info

AUSTRIA: 2. Liga - Round 8

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Merkur-Arena (Graz)

Referee: Schnur J. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1, ORF Sport+, ORF TVthek
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, LAOLA1


	Sturm Graz B		ASK Voitsberg

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	3.7	2.65
	2.25	4	2.7
	2.27	4.01	2.76
	2.29	3.9	2.69	Watch
	2.27	3.9	2.72	Watch
	2.25	4	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.66)	3.92 ↑ (3.84)	2.7 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sturm Graz B
41.5%

Draw
23.9%

ASK Voitsberg
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

24.4%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

24.9%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sturm Graz B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sturm Graz B's performance.

ASK Voitsberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ASK Voitsberg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz B than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sturm Graz B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ASK Voitsberg than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ASK Voitsberg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sturm Graz B - ASK Voitsberg Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sturm B will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Bignetti M. (G) 30. Mustafic S. 6. Haider G. 4. Schopp K. 18. Sorg O. 37. Stosic N. 21. Scharmer T. 43. Hodl J. 11. Sarkaria M. 14. Beganovic B. 9. Kiedl P.	1. Ehmann F. (G) 22. Salentinig M. (C) 27. Strommer C. 24. Kirnbauer D. 20. Seidl P. 6. Saurer D. 25. Halwachs J. 33. Urdl C. 12. Scheucher P. 10. Zuna P. 89. Jantscher J.
Substitutes
20. Afrifa L. 10. Ilic A. 8. Kern M. 29. Koita Y. 41. Lorenz E. (G) 27. Pirker S. 13. Wolf J.	4. Allmannsdorfer M. 77. Fuchs A. 15. Krienzer M. 9. Milla K. 39. Neubauer E. 26. Pobinger J. (G) 8. Pungarsek N.
Coaches
Saumel J.	Preiss D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Seidl P. 🟨,
19', Halwachs J. 🟨,
27', Zuna P. 🟨,
38', Kiedl P. 🟨,
45', Zuna P. ↓, Krienzer M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', Sarkaria M. ↓, Ilic A. ↑,
56', 0 - 1, Krienzer M. ⚽, Scheucher P. (A),
66', Seidl P. 🟨,
66', Jantscher J. 🟨,
70', Scharmer T. ↓, Kern M. ↑,
75', Hodl J. ↓, Koita Y. ↑,
75', Stosic N. ↓, Afrifa L. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Ilic A. ⚽, Sorg O. (A),
86', Jantscher J. ↓, Neubauer E. ↑,
87', Ehmann F. 🟨,
90', Urdl C. ↓, Fuchs A. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,
90+7', Neubauer E. 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Voitsberg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sturm Graz B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Sturm Graz B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sturm Graz B
Austrian 2 Liga
24.09.24	Sturm Graz B - Stripfing	3:0 ✺
21.09.24	Austria Lustenau - Sturm Graz B	0:0 ✺
30.08.24	Liefering - Sturm Graz B	2:2 ✺
23.08.24	Amstetten - Sturm Graz B	3:1 ✺
17.08.24	Sturm Graz B - Kapfenberger SV	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WTTLL
- ASK Voitsberg
Austrian 2 Liga
20.09.24	ASK Voitsberg - St. Pölten	0:2 ✺
13.09.24	Ried - ASK Voitsberg	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
06.09.24	Wolfsberger - ASK Voitsberg	0:0 ✺
Austrian 2 Liga
01.09.24	ASK Voitsberg - Kapfenberger SV	1:2 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
28.08.24	Kapfenberger SV - ASK Voitsberg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
20.01.24	Sturm Graz B - ASK Voitsberg	0:2
31.01.17	Sturm Graz B - ASK Voitsberg	3:0

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