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Current Win Probability
Badajoz 47.9%
Draw 26.7%
Marbella 25.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45.5%
27%
27.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.9%
25.6%
26%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Badajoz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
Marbella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
The ML Model estimate for Badajoz aligns with the current prediction.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Badajoz - Marbella Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, Bermudez J. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 7th and 14th in the Relegation).
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Badajoz is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Badajoz has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:1 (averaging 0.6:0.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Badajoz against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals (averaging 0.7:0.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
CD Badajoz
8
4
3
1
8:5
3
15
15
Marbella
8
1
3
4
6:10
-4
6
Last Results with these Odds
Badajoz - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 45.55%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Spain
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