The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sevilla 36.9%
Draw 28.1%
Badalona 35%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
31.3%
28.8%
40%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.8%
28.3%
40.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sevilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sevilla's performance.
Badalona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sevilla that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Badalona than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Badalona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sevilla - Badalona Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sullastres E. (C) 30. Lopez A. 16. Arnaiz I. 24. Marques A. 7. Morcillo R. 6. Redondo A. 20. Marquez R. 23. Castello S. 22. Blanco C. 9. Kanteh Cham F. 15. Martin-Pozuelo E.
25. Font M. (G) 3. Pujadas B. 22. Martinez L. 23. Cubedo C. 4. Majarin S. (C) 19. Navarro L. 10. Llompart Pons M. 14. Requena L. 11. Julve E. 9. Guijarro S. 7. Uribe I.
Substitutes
8. Alvarez A. 4. Alvarez I. 35. Barrios X. 10. Blom J. 13. Echezarreta M. (G) 28. Galvez A. 21. Gili Giner G.
32. Abdon Naval L. 5. Carmona N. 21. Hendriks K. 8. Kalu C. 1. Lopez M. (G) 17. Sanchez P. 20. Uria Gabilondo M.
Coaches
Losada D.
Ballester M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Kanteh Cham F. ⚽,
43', Kanteh Cham F. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
45+3', Redondo A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', Navarro L. ↓, Sanchez P. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Martinez L. ⚽, Sanchez P. (A),
54', Requena L. 🟨,
55', 2 - 1, Marquez R. ⚽, Lopez A. (A),
61', Castello S. 🟨,
66', Llompart Pons M. 🟨,
67', Martin-Pozuelo E. ↓, Gili Giner G. ↑,
67', Marquez R. ↓, Barrios X. ↑,
70', 2 - 2, Guijarro S. ⚽, Julve E. (A),
78', Guijarro S. ↓, Uria Gabilondo M. ↑,
87', Pujadas B. ↓, Carmona N. ↑,
87', Requena L. ↓, Hendriks K. ↑,
90+1', Cubedo C. ↓, Kalu C. ↑,
90+2', Lopez A. ↓, Blom J. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 3, Uria Gabilondo M. ⚽, Julve E. (A),
90+6', 3 - 3, Blom J. ⚽, Gili Giner G. (A),
90+10', Arnaiz I. 🟨,
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 9th and 6th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 1.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Sevilla has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:8 (averaging 1.8:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sevilla against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 9:6 goals (averaging 2.3:1.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
13
Sevilla FC W
8
2
3
3
8:11
-3
9
14
Badalona W
8
2
2
4
9:13
-4
8
Last Results with these Odds
Badalona - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 39.97%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.