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Current Win Probability
Badalona 39.9%
Draw 29.2%
Cornellà 31%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
48.3%
27.8%
23.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.1%
27.3%
23.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Badalona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Badalona's form might have worsened.
Cornellà has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cornellà's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Badalona than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Badalona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cornellà than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cornellà, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Badalona - Cornellà Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 4)
53', 0 - 1, ⚽,
56', 0 - 2, ⚽,
76', 1 - 2, ⚽,
80', 1 - 3, ⚽,
89', 1 - 4, ⚽,
Preview
One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 Playoffs and 17th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Badalona won 4.
Badalona is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Cornellà has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Badalona could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Badalona has recorded 7 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:21 (averaging 1.3:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Badalona against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 16:7 goals (averaging 1.6:0.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
CF Badalona
8
3
2
3
13:10
3
11
11
Cornella
8
2
4
2
12:10
2
10
Last Results with these Odds
Badalona - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 48.33%, but this team recently wins 59% of matches with these odds.