Match Info

Date: 10 October 2021, Sunday


	Badalona		Peña Deportiva

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.75	3.1
	2.3	2.8	3.1
	2.28	2.8	3.2
	2.38	2.92	3.31
	2.35	2.88	3.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.61)	2.83 ↓ (2.92)	3.19 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Badalona
39.1%

Draw
32.3%

Peña Deportiva
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

30.8%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

23.1%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Badalona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Peña Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Peña Deportiva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badalona than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Badalona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (+17.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peña Deportiva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Badalona - Peña Deportiva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Badalona is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Peña Deportiva is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Badalona could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Badalona will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Badalona won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Badalona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Badalona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
03.10.21	Terrassa - Badalona	3:0 ✺
26.09.21	Badalona - Cerdanyola del Vallès	1:1 ✺
19.09.21	Espanyol B - Badalona	1:0 ✺
12.09.21	Badalona - Lleida	2:2 ✺
05.09.21	Ebro - Badalona	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LTLTL
- Peña Deportiva
Spanish Copa Federacion
06.10.21	Atzeneta - Peña Deportiva	0:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
03.10.21	Peña Deportiva - Prat	1:0 ✺
26.09.21	Numancia - Peña Deportiva	2:1 ✺
19.09.21	Peña Deportiva - Brea	3:0 ✺
12.09.21	Huesca B - Peña Deportiva	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
25.02.18	Peña Deportiva - Badalona	0:1
08.10.17	Badalona - Peña Deportiva	4:1

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