The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Badalona 65.5%
Draw 22.5%
Lleida 12%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.6%
21.6%
10.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71%
20.6%
10.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Badalona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Lleida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Badalona than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Badalona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lleida than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Badalona - Lleida Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
45+4', 1 - 0, Rodriguez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
80', 2 - 0, Simon R. ⚽,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Badalona won 0.
Badalona is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Lleida is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Lleida may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Badalona is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Badalona won 2 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:27. (average 0.8:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Badalona won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.9:1.4).
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