Match Info

SPAIN: LIGA F WOMEN - ROUND 21

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Camp Municipal Les Planes (Sant Joan Despi)

Referee: Espinosa A. (Esp)


	Badalona		Villarreal

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.4	4.2
	1.72	3.5	4.33	Watch
	1.8	3.6	5.05
	1.73	3.6	5.06
	1.85	3.4	3.4
	1.72	3.48	4.4
	1.78	3.4	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.14)	3.48 ↑ (3.37)	4.36 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Badalona
52.4%

Draw
26.5%

Villarreal
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

28%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

28.8%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Badalona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Badalona's performance.

Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villarreal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badalona than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Badalona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villarreal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Badalona - Villarreal Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Badalona will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Villarreal will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Caceres N. (G) 14. Mora J. 4. Bou B. 22. Nicoli M. 8. Martinez L. 21. Mrabet Y. K. 20. Chebbak G. 15. Serrano M. 18. Tang Jiali 10. Baudet C. 9. Martinez J.	13. Carbonell C. (G) 5. Gimenez Y. 3. Cubedo C. 8. Campo A. 14. Perez Machado N. 11. Bicho 18. Soldevila P. 15. Lara F. 10. Kanteh Cham F. 12. McKenna K. J. 6. Llompart Pons M.
Substitutes
40. Carmona N. 19. Conc D. 6. Garrote P. 16. Lahmari A. 23. Latorre B. 36. Malagelada N. (G) 26. Meya A. 7. Uribe I.	1. Del Toro E. (G) 17. Garcia R. 7. Gomez L. 9. Morato T. 20. Morcillo R. 28. Romero M. 22. Thais
Coaches
Cabello F.	Monforte S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, McKenna K. J. ⚽,
36', Llompart Pons M. 🟨,
38', Gimenez Y. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
42', Serrano M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Cubedo C. 🟨,
54', Tang Jiali ↓, Lahmari A. ↑,
54', Serrano M. ↓, Latorre B. ↑,
54', Baudet C. ↓, Uribe I. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Martinez J. ⚽, Nicoli M. (A),
66', Llompart Pons M. ↓, Thais ↑,
73', Chebbak G. ↓, Garrote P. ↑,
78', McKenna K. J. ↓, Romero M. ↑,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 10).

Levante Las Planas is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Villarreal is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Levante Las Planas will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Levante Las Planas won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Levante Las Planas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Badalona Women
Spanish Liga F Women
16.03.24	Sevilla - Badalona	3:0 ✺
09.03.24	Badalona - Granada	1:2 ✺
18.02.24	Madrid CFF - Badalona	2:1 ✺
10.02.24	Badalona - Eibar	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Tenerife - Badalona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLLTT
- Villarreal CF Women
Spanish Liga F Women
16.03.24	Villarreal - Madrid CFF	1:4 ✺
09.03.24	Tenerife - Villarreal	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Villarreal - Real Sociedad	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	Valencia - Villarreal	0:1 ✺
03.02.24	Villarreal - Betis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga F Women
10.12.23	Villarreal - Badalona	2:2
19.03.23	Villarreal - Badalona	0:0
17.12.22	Badalona - Villarreal	2:2

Badalona - Villarreal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide