Match Info

Date: 30 January 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Bagnolese		Athletic Carpi

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.3	2.5
	2.5	3.2	2.5
	2.43	3.15	2.5
	2.52	3.22	2.48
	2.45	3	2.55
	2.56	3.34	2.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (3.27)	3.2 ↑ (3.15)	2.51 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bagnolese
36.3%

Draw
28%

Athletic Carpi
35.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.1%

29.1%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

19.6%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bagnolese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bagnolese's performance.

Athletic Carpi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Athletic Carpi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bagnolese than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bagnolese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Carpi than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Athletic Carpi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bagnolese - Athletic Carpi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 14 and 9).

Recent matches Bagnolese is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Athletic Carpi is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Athletic Carpi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Athletic Carpi have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bagnolese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GS Bagnolese
Italian Serie D - Group D
22.12.21	Alcione - Bagnolese	1:0 ✺
18.12.21	Bagnolese - Cavenago Fanfulla	1:0 ✺
12.12.21	Mezzolara - Bagnolese	1:0 ✺
08.12.21	Bagnolese - Correggese	0:0 ✺
05.12.21	Borgo San Donnino - Bagnolese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLTT
- Athletic Carpi
Italian Serie D - Group D
23.01.22	Seravezza Pozzi - Athletic Carpi	1:0 ✺
19.01.22	Aglianese - Athletic Carpi	3:2 ✺
22.12.21	Athletic Carpi - Lentigione	2:2 ✺
19.12.21	Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano - Athletic Carpi	2:2 ✺
12.12.21	Rimini - Athletic Carpi	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
19.09.21	Athletic Carpi - Bagnolese	0:2

Bagnolese - Athletic Carpi

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Bagnolese - Athletic Carpi Predictions

Preview

Form

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