Match Info

Date: 22 December 2021, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Athletic Carpi		Lentigione

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.1	1.93
	3.8	3.15	1.85
	2.9	3.1	2.17
	3.25	2.8	2.24
	2.9	3.1	2.15
	3.08	3.3	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (3.15)	3.09 ↑ (2.9)	2.09 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Carpi
27.8%

Draw
29.1%

Lentigione
43.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.5%

29.9%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

22.3%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Carpi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Lentigione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Carpi than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Athletic Carpi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lentigione than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lentigione could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Athletic Carpi - Lentigione Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).

Recent matches Athletic Carpi is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lentigione is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lentigione could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Lentigione will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Carpi
Italian Serie D - Group D
19.12.21	Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano - Athletic Carpi	2:2 ✺
12.12.21	Rimini - Athletic Carpi	4:0 ✺
08.12.21	Athletic Carpi - Ravenna	5:5 ✺
05.12.21	Aglianese - Athletic Carpi	2:2 ✺
28.11.21	Athletic Carpi - Alcione	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLTTW
- Lentigione Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
18.12.21	Lentigione - Alcione	4:0 ✺
04.12.21	Mezzolara - Lentigione	1:1 ✺
28.11.21	Lentigione - Correggese	2:0 ✺
21.11.21	Borgo San Donnino - Lentigione	0:3 ✺
14.11.21	Lentigione - Real Forte Querceta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTWWL

Athletic Carpi - Lentigione

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Athletic Carpi - Lentigione Predictions

Preview

Form

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