Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP D - ROUND 23

Date: 25 January 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Bagnolese		Mezzolara

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.2	1.95
	3.15	3.3	2.05
	3.14	3.39	2.01
	3.5	2.9	2
	3.28	3.24	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (3.27)	3.21 ↑ (3.06)	2.01 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bagnolese
27.3%

Draw
28%

Mezzolara
44.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.2%

29.1%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

28.9%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bagnolese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Mezzolara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bagnolese than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mezzolara than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Bagnolese - Mezzolara Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bagnolese will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Mezzolara will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Bagnolese is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Mezzolara is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mezzolara will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Bagnolese won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Bagnolese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GS Bagnolese
Italian Serie D - Group D
21.01.23	Sammaurese - Bagnolese	0:2 ✺
15.01.23	Bagnolese - Prato	2:3 ✺
08.01.23	SantAngelo - Bagnolese	1:0 ✺
21.12.22	Bagnolese - Cavenago Fanfulla	1:2 ✺
17.12.22	Crema - Bagnolese	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLLLL
- ASD Mezzolara
Italian Serie D - Group D
21.01.23	Mezzolara - Giana Erminio	1:1 ✺
15.01.23	Pistoiese - Mezzolara	2:1 ✺
08.01.23	Mezzolara - AC Carpi	0:1 ✺
21.12.22	Mezzolara - United Riccione	2:2 ✺
17.12.22	Real Forte Querceta - Mezzolara	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
21.09.22	Mezzolara - Bagnolese	1:0
04.05.22	Bagnolese - Mezzolara	1:0
12.12.21	Mezzolara - Bagnolese	1:0
17.01.21	Mezzolara - Bagnolese	1:2

Bagnolese - Mezzolara