Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP D - ROUND 21

Date: 15 January 2023, Sunday


	Bagnolese		Prato

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.2	1.9
	3.45	3.05	2
	4.1	3.27	1.8
	3.9	3.1	1.83
	3.94	3.38	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↑ (3.34)	3.2 ↑ (3.1)	1.87 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bagnolese
23.8%

Draw
28.1%

Prato
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

28.7%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

24.9%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bagnolese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Prato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bagnolese than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bagnolese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Prato than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Prato, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bagnolese - Prato Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Bagnolese has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Prato is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Prato could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Prato have a series of home games.

Prato will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bagnolese won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Bagnolese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GS Bagnolese
Italian Serie D - Group D
08.01.23	SantAngelo - Bagnolese	1:0 ✺
21.12.22	Bagnolese - Cavenago Fanfulla	1:2 ✺
17.12.22	Crema - Bagnolese	3:1 ✺
11.12.22	Bagnolese - Correggese	1:4 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
07.12.22	United Riccione - Bagnolese	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- AC Prato
Coppa Italia Serie D
11.01.23	Prato - United Riccione	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group D
08.01.23	Prato - Ravenna	3:1 ✺
21.12.22	Prato - Scandicci	0:2 ✺
17.12.22	Aglianese - Prato	2:1 ✺
11.12.22	Prato - Crema	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
11.09.22	Prato - Bagnolese	1:0
27.02.22	Prato - Bagnolese	0:0
20.10.21	Bagnolese - Prato	1:2
06.06.21	Bagnolese - Prato	0:0
31.01.21	Prato - Bagnolese	2:1

Bagnolese - Prato: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide