Match Info

Date: 31 October 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Bagnolese		Tritium

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Bagnolese
41.2%

Draw
28.1%

Tritium
30.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.8%

29%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

20.7%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bagnolese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Tritium has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bagnolese than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bagnolese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tritium than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tritium could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out).

Bagnolese has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Tritium is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bagnolese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bagnolese will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GS Bagnolese
Italian Serie D - Group D
24.10.21	Ravenna - Bagnolese	2:1 ✺
20.10.21	Bagnolese - Prato	1:2 ✺
16.10.21	Bagnolese - Lentigione	0:2 ✺
10.10.21	Sasso Marconi - Bagnolese	2:1 ✺
06.10.21	Bagnolese - Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT
- Tritium
Italian Serie D - Group D
24.10.21	Tritium - Seravezza Pozzi	0:2 ✺
20.10.21	Lentigione - Tritium	1:1 ✺
17.10.21	Tritium - Athletic Carpi	3:3 ✺
10.10.21	Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano - Tritium	2:1 ✺
06.10.21	Tritium - Alcione	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LTTLW

Bagnolese - Tritium