Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 18

Date: 16 July 2025, Wednesday


	Bahia U20		Botafogo RJ U20

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.4	3.3
	1.9	3.35	3.5
	1.93	3.6	3.71
				Watch
	1.85	3.45	3.71
	1.64	3.74	3.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.68)	3.51 ↓ (3.95)	3.53 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bahia U20
48.8%

Draw
25.7%

Botafogo RJ U20
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

22.5%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

23.5%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahia U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Botafogo RJ U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia U20 than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bahia U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo RJ U20 than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Bahia U20 - Botafogo RJ U20 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Botafogo U20 (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Botafogo U20 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Dell ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
89', 2 - 0, Gustavo Ulguim ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 0, Juninho (Pen),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 11).

Bahia U20 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Botafogo U20 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bahia U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Botafogo U20 has had a series of home games.

Bahia U20 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia U20 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Bahia U20 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bahia U20
Brazilian Baiano U20
12.07.25	Bahia U20 - Jequié U20	3:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
08.07.25	Juventude U20 - Bahia U20	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Baiano U20
05.07.25	Jequié U20 - Bahia U20	1:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
02.07.25	Bahia U20 - Cruzeiro U20	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Baiano U20
28.06.25	Jacuipense U20 - Bahia U20	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 WLTLT
- Botafogo RJ U20
Brasileiro U20
10.07.25	Flamengo RJ U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	2:2 ✺
02.07.25	Botafogo RJ U20 - Grêmio U20	4:0 ✺
25.06.25	Botafogo RJ U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	1:2 ✺
11.06.25	Botafogo RJ U20 - Atletico GO U20	4:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio U20
01.06.25	Botafogo RJ U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
18.07.24	Botafogo RJ U20 - Bahia U20	1:0
08.06.22	Bahia U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	0:2
10.07.21	Bahia U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	0:2
14.12.20	Botafogo RJ U20 - Bahia U20	2:1
14.08.19	Bahia U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	1:1

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