Match Info

Baiano U20 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 July 2025, Saturday


	Jacuipense U20		Bahia U20

	1	X	2
	4.92	4.12	1.51
	4.71	3.79	1.64	Watch
	5.47	4.2	1.46
	4.5	4.33	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.9 ↑ (4.59)	4.11 ↑ (4.1)	1.55 (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacuipense U20
18.6%

Draw
22.2%

Bahia U20
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

22%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

22.1%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacuipense U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Bahia U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacuipense U20 than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia U20 than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

1st leg.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Jacuipense U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bahia U20 is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Jacuipense U20 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 1.5:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Jacuipense U20 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 2:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacuipense U20
Brazilian Baiano U20
12.07.25	Galícia U20 - Jacuipense U20	1:4 ✺
06.07.25	Jacuipense U20 - Galícia U20	2:2 ✺
28.06.25	Jacuipense U20 - Bahia U20	3:3 ✺
14.06.25	Alagoinhas U20 - Jacuipense U20	0:0 ✺
07.06.25	Jacuipense U20 - Galícia U20	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WTTTT
- Bahia U20
Brasileiro U20
16.07.25	Bahia U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Baiano U20
12.07.25	Bahia U20 - Jequié U20	3:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
08.07.25	Juventude U20 - Bahia U20	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Baiano U20
05.07.25	Jequié U20 - Bahia U20	1:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
02.07.25	Bahia U20 - Cruzeiro U20	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Baiano U20
28.06.25	Jacuipense U20 - Bahia U20	3:3
29.03.25	Bahia U20 - Jacuipense U20	5:1
12.05.24	Jacuipense U20 - Bahia U20	1:3
20.03.24	Bahia U20 - Jacuipense U20	2:1

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