Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 8

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday


	Bahia U20		Vitória U20

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.05	5.15
	1.52	4.2	5.55
	1.52	4.12	5.34	Watch
	1.5	3.75	5
	1.48	3.94	5.82
	1.49	3.85	5.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.49)	3.99 ↑ (3.85)	5.33 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bahia U20
60.3%

Draw
22.7%

Vitória U20
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.6%

23%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

22%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahia U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Vitória U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia U20 than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória U20 than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Bahia U20 - Vitória U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Bahia U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bahia U20 is the obvious favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bahia U20 won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1.5:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Bahia U20 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bahia U20
Brasileiro U20
22.04.26	Botafogo RJ U20 - Bahia U20	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Baiano U20
19.04.26	Galícia U20 - Bahia U20	0:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
15.04.26	Bahia U20 - Palmeiras U20	1:4 ✺
Brazilian Baiano U20
11.04.26	Bahia U20 - Camaçariense U20	7:0 ✺
Brasileiro U20
08.04.26	Bahia U20 - Avaí U20	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWW
- EC Vitória Salvador U20
Brasileiro U20
23.04.26	Vitória U20 - Red Bull Bragantino U20	2:5 ✺
Brazilian Baiano U20
18.04.26	Vitória U20 - Fluminense de Feira U20	3:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
15.04.26	Fluminense U20 - Vitória U20	3:2 ✺
09.04.26	Vasco da Gama U20 - Vitória U20	6:1 ✺
Brazilian Baiano U20
04.04.26	Vitória U20 - Leônico U20	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Baiano U20
16.06.24	Bahia U20 - Vitória U20	1:1
12.06.24	Vitória U20 - Bahia U20	0:3
Brasileiro U20
14.10.20	Bahia U20 - Vitória U20	1:0
17.07.19	Vitória U20 - Bahia U20	0:1

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