Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 6

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday


	Bahia U20		Palmeiras U20

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.4	2.45
	2.46	3.61	2.53
	2.43	3.67	2.48	Watch
	2.4	3.3	2.45
	2.42	3.48	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.74)	3.49 ↓ (3.69)	2.47 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bahia U20
37.3%

Draw
26%

Palmeiras U20
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

24.9%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

25.3%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahia U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Palmeiras U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia U20 than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras U20 than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Palmeiras U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bahia U20 - Palmeiras U20 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Palmeiras U20 (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Palmeiras U20 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
1', 0 - 1, Heittor Vinicius ⚽,
20', 0 - 2, Heittor Vinicius ⚽,
34', 0 - 3, Felipe Teresa ⚽,
40', 0 - 4, Heittor Vinicius ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+5', 1 - 4, Nascimento R. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia U20 won 1.

Bahia U20 has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Palmeiras U20 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bahia U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Bahia U20 has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Bahia U20 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:27. (average 1.1:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Bahia U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:20. (average 1:4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bahia U20
Brazilian Baiano U20
11.04.26	Bahia U20 - Camaçariense U20	7:0 ✺
Brasileiro U20
08.04.26	Bahia U20 - Avaí U20	4:0 ✺
02.04.26	Red Bull Bragantino U20 - Bahia U20	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Baiano U20
28.03.26	Bahia U20 - Galícia U20	8:1 ✺
21.03.26	Bahia U20 - Feirense U20	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWWW
- Palmeiras U20
Brasileiro U20
08.04.26	Palmeiras U20 - Red Bull Bragantino U20	3:2 ✺
01.04.26	Botafogo RJ U20 - Palmeiras U20	0:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores U20
22.03.26	Olimpia Asuncion U20 - Palmeiras U20	1:2 penalties ✺
19.03.26	Palmeiras U20 - Santiago Wanderers U20	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Palmeiras U20 - Sporting Cristal U20	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
21.03.25	Palmeiras U20 - Bahia U20	2:1
22.05.24	Bahia U20 - Palmeiras U20	0:6
01.03.23	Palmeiras U20 - Bahia U20	0:1
30.07.22	Bahia U20 - Palmeiras U20	0:5
01.07.21	Palmeiras U20 - Bahia U20	1:0
Copa do Brasil U20
17.12.20	Palmeiras U20 - Bahia U20	1:3
09.12.20	Bahia U20 - Palmeiras U20	2:1

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