Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 30

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday


	Bahlinger		VfR Aalen

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.4	2.45
	2.55	3.5	2.5
	2.5	3.65	2.54
	2.51	3.65	2.55
	2.51	3.48	2.53
	2.46	3.45	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (1.79)	3.52 ↓ (3.85)	2.51 ↓ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bahlinger
37.1%

Draw
26.1%

VfR Aalen
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

24.1%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

21.2%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahlinger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bahlinger's form might have worsened.

VfR Aalen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting VfR Aalen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahlinger than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bahlinger, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VfR Aalen than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for VfR Aalen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bahlinger - VfR Aalen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 1 - 0, Mourad H. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Abruscia A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bahlinger won 3.

Recent matches Bahlinger is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aalen is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Aalen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Bahlinger won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Bahlinger won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bahlinger SC
German Regionalliga Sudwest
12.04.24	Stuttgarter Kickers - Bahlinger	4:0 ✺
06.04.24	Bahlinger - TSV Steinbach Haiger	2:2 ✺
02.04.24	Mainz II - Bahlinger	2:0 ✺
30.03.24	Bahlinger - Hessen Kassel	1:1 ✺
23.03.24	TuS Koblenz - Bahlinger	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTLTW
- VfR Aalen
German Regionalliga Sudwest
13.04.24	VfR Aalen - Schott Mainz	2:3 ✺
06.04.24	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz - VfR Aalen	0:0 ✺
02.04.24	VfR Aalen - Hoffenheim II	1:2 ✺
30.03.24	Eintracht Frankfurt II - VfR Aalen	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Balingen - VfR Aalen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
14.10.23	VfR Aalen - Bahlinger	0:2
22.04.23	VfR Aalen - Bahlinger	2:0
16.10.22	Bahlinger - VfR Aalen	2:1
18.12.21	Bahlinger - VfR Aalen	2:2
28.08.21	VfR Aalen - Bahlinger	2:3
22.05.21	VfR Aalen - Bahlinger	1:1
03.02.21	Bahlinger - VfR Aalen	0:0

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