Match Info

Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 28

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Mainz II		Bahlinger

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.75	6.3
	1.41	4.92	7.13
	1.43	4.62	5.82
	1.4	4.33	6
	1.34	4.55	7.4
	1.37	4.4	6.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.38)	4.6 ↑ (4.5)	6.58 ↓ (6.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mainz II
66.1%

Draw
20%

Bahlinger
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

20.3%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6%

19.1%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mainz II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Bahlinger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz II than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahlinger than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Mainz II - Bahlinger Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Videira J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 1 - 1, Schroder L. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mainz II won 2.

Mainz II has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bahlinger's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Mainz II is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Mainz II won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:16. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Mainz II won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 2.1:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Mainz II	10	3	0	7	10:21	-11	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mainz II
German Regionalliga Sudwest
04.04.26	Eintracht Trier - Mainz II	0:5 ✺
28.03.26	Mainz II - Schott Mainz	0:3 ✺
22.03.26	Homburg - Mainz II	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Mainz II - Bayern Alzenau	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz - Mainz II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLWWL
- Bahlinger SC
German Regionalliga Sudwest
04.04.26	Bahlinger - Hessen Kassel	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Astoria Walldorf - Bahlinger	3:1 ✺
21.03.26	FSV Frankfurt - Bahlinger	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Bahlinger - Freiberg	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Sandhausen - Bahlinger	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.8 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
04.10.25	Bahlinger - Mainz II	1:1
19.04.25	Bahlinger - Mainz II	4:3
20.10.24	Mainz II - Bahlinger	3:1
Club Friendly
19.07.24	Mainz II - Bahlinger	1:4
German Regionalliga Sudwest
02.04.24	Mainz II - Bahlinger	2:0
30.09.23	Bahlinger - Mainz II	2:1
04.03.23	Bahlinger - Mainz II	1:1

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