Match Info

Premier League - Round 9

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday


	Bai Bureh Warriors		Freetown City

	1	X	2
	1.64	3.43	5.21	Watch
	1.63	3.32	5.35
	1.62	3.25	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.64)	3.33 ↑ (3.33)	5.3 ↓ (5.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bai Bureh Warriors
55.7%

Draw
27.2%

Freetown City
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

27.5%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

26%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Bai Bureh Warriors have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Freetown City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bai Bureh Warriors than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freetown City than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Bai Bureh Warriors - Freetown City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 and 8).

Bai Bureh Warriors is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Freetown City has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bai Bureh Warriors may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bai Bureh Warriors is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Bai Bureh Warriors will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bai Bureh Warriors won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Bai Bureh Warriors won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Bai Bureh Warriors	33	14	15	4	38:17	21	57
18	Freetown City ✔	33	6	10	17	30:47	-17	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bai Bureh Warriors
Sierra Leone Premier League
26.12.25	Kallon - Bai Bureh Warriors	0:2 ✺
20.12.25	Bai Bureh Warriors - Bo Rangers	0:0 ✺
12.12.25	Bhantal - Bai Bureh Warriors	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Bai Bureh Warriors - East End Lions	1:0 ✺
28.11.25	Bullom Stars - Bai Bureh Warriors	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WTTWW
- Freetown City FC
Sierra Leone Premier League
30.12.25	Freetown City - Diamond Stars	3:2 ✺
21.12.25	Kallon - Freetown City	1:3 ✺
10.12.25	Freetown City - SLIFA Mount Aureol	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Bo Rangers - Freetown City	1:0 ✺
02.12.25	Freetown City - Wusum Stars	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Sierra Leone Premier League
28.06.25	Bai Bureh Warriors - Freetown City	1:0
05.03.25	Freetown City - Bai Bureh Warriors	1:4
04.01.23	Freetown City - Bai Bureh Warriors	0:1

Bai Bureh Warriors - Freetown City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide