Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 7

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	Bala Azul		UCAM Murcia B

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.03	2.56
	2.79	2.90	2.65	Watch
	2.71	2.97	2.48
	2.3	3.15	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.27)	3.01 ↓ (3.1)	2.64 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bala Azul
34.8%

Draw
30.5%

UCAM Murcia B
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

29.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

28.7%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bala Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bala Azul's form might have worsened.

UCAM Murcia B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bala Azul than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bala Azul, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia B than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Bala Azul - UCAM Murcia B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: )).

Bala Azul is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

UCAM Murcia B has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bala Azul won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Bala Azul won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Bala Azul
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
12.10.25	Mazarrón - Bala Azul	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Bala Azul - El Palmar	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Deportivo Marítimo - Bala Azul	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Bala Azul - Unión Molinense	0:0 ✺
07.09.25	Bala Azul - Santomera	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTTTW
- UCAM Murcia B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
12.10.25	UCAM Murcia B - Olímpico de Totana	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Cartagena B - UCAM Murcia B	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	UCAM Murcia B - Real Murcia B	1:3 ✺
14.09.25	UCAM Murcia B - Minerva	0:0 ✺
06.09.25	Pulpileño - UCAM Murcia B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
20.04.25	Bala Azul - UCAM Murcia B	0:1
08.12.24	UCAM Murcia B - Bala Azul	1:0
17.04.22	Bala Azul - UCAM Murcia B	1:2
05.12.21	UCAM Murcia B - Bala Azul	0:1

Bala Azul - UCAM Murcia B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide