Match Info

3. Lig Group 4 - Round 25

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Balikesir Ataturk Stadyumu (Balikesir)


	Balikesirspor		Altay

	1	X	2
	1.43	3.9	5.7
	1.43	3.97	5.85
	1.47	4.13	6.15	Watch
	1.44	3.75	6
	1.42	4.05	6.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.47)	3.96 ↓ (4.13)	6.07 ↓ (6.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Balikesirspor
62.5%

Draw
22.7%

Altay
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

22.3%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9%

21.2%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Balikesirspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Altay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Balikesirspor than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altay than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Balikesirspor - Altay Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Sonmez Y. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
78', 2 - 0, Arican A. ⚽, Dede E. (A),
84', 3 - 0, Kirca T. ⚽, Yasa E. (A),

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Lig Play Offs (Play Offs: ) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Balikesirspor won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Balikesirspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Balikesirspor is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Balikesirspor won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Balikesirspor won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Balikesirspor ✔	29	16	7	6	55:23	32	55
12	Altay	29	8	7	14	27:41	-14	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Balikesirspor
Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
28.02.26	Balikesirspor - Izmir Çoruhlu	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Eskişehir Anadolu - Balikesirspor	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Balikesirspor - Alanya 1221	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Afjet Afyonspor - Balikesirspor	0:3 ✺
01.02.26	Kutahyaspor - Balikesirspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WTLWL
- Altay SK
Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
08.03.26	Altay - Kutahyaspor	0:4 ✺
01.03.26	Karşıyaka - Altay	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Altay - Tire 2021	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Söke 1970 - Altay	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Altay - Bornova	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
09.11.25	Altay - Balikesirspor	0:1
Turkish First League
14.03.21	Balikesirspor - Altay	0:3
06.11.20	Altay - Balikesirspor	1:3
02.02.20	Balikesirspor - Altay	0:0
31.08.19	Altay - Balikesirspor	1:0
04.03.19	Altay - Balikesirspor	1:0
30.09.18	Balikesirspor - Altay	2:1

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