Match Info

Premier League - First stage - Main - Round 4

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Ta'Qali National Stadium (Ta' Qali)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Balzan		Birżebbuġa St. Peters

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.20	2.75
	2.45	3.1	2.55
	2.48	3.2	2.66
	2.51	3.28	2.61	Watch
	2.45	3.15	2.6
	2.44	3.25	2.53
	2.45	3.15	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.5)	3.19 ↓ (3.41)	2.61 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Balzan
37.1%

Draw
28.3%

Birżebbuġa St. Peters
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

27%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

26%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Balzan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Birżebbuġa St. Peters has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Balzan than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birżebbuġa St. Peters than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Balzan - Birżebbuġa St. Peters Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Djalo M. (G) 5. Arab S. (C) 14. Dimeji A. 18. Ederson 21. Gabriel Santos 42. Grech Z. 17. Guehi S. 77. Kuach Yuel V. 96. Leo Fernandes 11. Macula 8. Pulis N.	1. Chiesa M. (G) 29. Alex Bruno (C) 25. Bolanos Ramirez J. A. 21. Bondin K. 7. Dimech S. 2. Gustavo Felipe 98. Mendoza J. 88. Scerri Z. 11. Tomaselli P. 17. Walker J. 10. Yuri
Substitutes
25. Celic V. 1. Ciappara D. (G) 23. Cipriott S. 22. Davey I. 2. Djoric N. 27. Farrugia N. 6. Grech J. . Lapira L. 4. Portelli J. 19. Rosiel 9. Yahaya M.	22. Azzopardi J. (G) 4. Azzopardi M. 77. Barbara A. 5. Cassar Z. 9. Cooper G. 20. Costa Goncalves G. 19. Grioli E. 30. Riascos L. 18. Thellufsen R. 8. Xuereb M. 94. Zerafa D.
Coaches
Cohen A.	Degabriele E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Kuach Yuel V. ⚽,
18', Walker J. 🟨,
22', Gabriel Santos 🟨,
30', 2 - 0, Dimeji A. ⚽,
35', Kuach Yuel V. 🟨,
45+4', Guehi S. 🟨,
45+5', Tomaselli P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Tomaselli P. ↓, Costa Goncalves G. ↑,
46', Walker J. ↓, Cassar Z. ↑,
49', Cassar Z. 🟨,
67', 3 - 0, Macula ⚽,
70', Bondin K. ↓, Thellufsen R. ↑,
70', Dimech S. ↓, Xuereb M. ↑,
74', Kuach Yuel V. ↓, Yahaya M. ↑,
81', Alex Bruno ↓, Grioli E. ↑,
81', Macula ↓, Portelli J. ↑,
83', Bolanos Ramirez J. A. 🟨,
85', Ederson ↓, Cipriott S. ↑,
85', Guehi S. ↓, Grech J. ↑,
87', Portelli J. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (First stage ~ Top 6: ) and 11 in the zone Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out: )).

Balzan is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Birżebbuġa is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Birżebbuġa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Balzan won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Balzan won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 2.3:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Balzan	6	2	3	1	9:6	3	9
12	Birzebbuga	6	0	0	6	1:14	-13	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Balzan FC
Maltese Premier League
29.08.26	Balzan - Gżira United	2:1 ✺
14.08.26	Balzan - Marsaxlokk	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Mosta - Balzan	0:2 ✺
24.07.26	Birżebbuġa St. Peters - Balzan	0:0 ✺
17.07.26	Balzan - Gżira United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTWTW
- Birżebbuġa St. Peters
Maltese Premier League
30.08.26	Birżebbuġa St. Peters - Sliema Wanderers	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Żabbar St. Patrick - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	1:0 ✺
14.08.26	Birżebbuġa St. Peters - Floriana	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
24.07.26	Birżebbuġa St. Peters - Balzan	0:0 ✺
17.07.26	Mosta - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
24.07.26	Birżebbuġa St. Peters - Balzan	0:0
Maltese Challenge League
12.04.26	Balzan - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	3:3
01.02.26	Balzan - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	3:0
Maltese FA Trophy
04.01.26	Balzan - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	1:2 penalties

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