Match Info

Premier League - First stage - Main - Round 1

Date: 14 August 2026, Friday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)


	Balzan		Marsaxlokk

	1	X	2
	2.90	3.00	2.20
	2.8	3	2.28
	3.09	3.18	2.26
	2.99	3.22	2.26	Watch
	2.95	3.1	2.2
	3.01	3.13	2.23
	2.8	3.05	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.6)	3.1 ↓ (3.25)	2.25 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Balzan
30.7%

Draw
29.1%

Marsaxlokk
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

27.7%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Balzan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Marsaxlokk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Balzan - Marsaxlokk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Djalo M. (G) 23. Cipriott S. 22. Davey I. 14. Dimeji A. (C) 2. Doric N. 6. Grech J. 42. Grech Z. 17. Guehi S. 44. Ignjatovic N. 96. Leo Fernandes 11. Macula	22. Mafoumbi C. (G) 27. Aguirre L. 8. Arias U. 24. Caruana L. 11. Corbalan J. C. 10. Dodo 4. El Hasni O. 28. Mihana R. 25. Minala J. 6. Muscat N. (C) 3. Weder
Substitutes
5. Arab S. 19. Asante E. 27. Cacciatore G. 25. Celic V. 1. Ciappara D. (G) 77. Farrugia N. 21. Gabriel Santos 7. Mbong E. 24. Micallef K. 4. Portelli J. 8. Pulis N.	14. Attard E. 2. Bykov O. 30. Carabott Z. (G) 23. Caruana T. 1. Cassar A. (G) 7. Christie-Davies I. 15. Galea N. 16. Karamitsios G. 26. Maniscalco M. 5. Pepe E. 33. Simkus D.
Coaches
Cohen A.	Potenza V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Guehi S. 🟨,
21', Muscat N. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Muscat N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
73', 1 - 1, Portelli J. ⚽,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Balzan won 0.

Balzan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Balzan won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Balzan won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Marsaxlokk	6	3	2	1	11:9	2	11
8	Balzan	6	2	3	1	9:6	3	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Balzan FC
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Mosta - Balzan	0:2 ✺
24.07.26	Birżebbuġa St. Peters - Balzan	0:0 ✺
17.07.26	Balzan - Gżira United	1:0 ✺
11.07.26	Balzan - Valletta	1:2 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
19.04.26	Balzan - Melita	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTWLW
- Marsaxlokk FC
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Marsaxlokk - Żabbar St. Patrick	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
16.07.26	Pyunik - Marsaxlokk	1:0 ✺
09.07.26	Marsaxlokk - Pyunik	0:3 ✺
Maltese Premier League
16.05.26	Floriana - Marsaxlokk	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	Marsaxlokk - Hamrun Spartans	2:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
31.01.25	Balzan - Marsaxlokk	0:3
24.11.24	Marsaxlokk - Balzan	2:1
28.09.24	Marsaxlokk - Balzan	2:1
21.01.24	Balzan - Marsaxlokk	0:0
29.01.23	Balzan - Marsaxlokk	0:0
11.09.22	Marsaxlokk - Balzan	1:2

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