Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 10

Date: 16 September 2025, Tuesday


	Bamber Bridge		Stocksbridge Park Steels

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.1	4.2
	1.6	3.85	4.45
	6.88	3.43	1.57	Watch
	1.7	4.22	4.11
	1.58	3.9	4.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (1.49)	3.9 ↓ (4.5)	3.82 ↓ (4.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bamber Bridge
42%

Draw
28.7%

Stocksbridge Park Steels
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

20.1%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

19.3%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bamber Bridge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bamber Bridge's form might have worsened.

Stocksbridge Park Steels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stocksbridge Park Steels's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bamber Bridge than the current prediction. (+21.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bamber Bridge, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stocksbridge Park Steels than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stocksbridge Park Steels, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bamber Bridge - Stocksbridge Park Steels Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Allen J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
54', 1 - 1, Poole T. ⚽,
56', 1 - 2, Morris J. ⚽,
82', Goundry J. 🟥,
83', 2 - 2, Bange E. (Pen),

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Bamber has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Stocksbridge has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Bamber is seen as the favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bamber Bridge
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Fylde - Bamber Bridge	4:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
09.09.25	Ashton United - Bamber Bridge	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Bamber Bridge - Workington	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
30.08.25	Warrington Town - Bamber Bridge	0:3 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
23.08.25	Bamber Bridge - Ilkeston	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LTLWW
- Stocksbridge Park Steels
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Dunston UTS - Stocksbridge Park Steels	1:0 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
10.09.25	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Gainsborough Trinity	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Stockton Town - Stocksbridge Park Steels	3:2 ✺
25.08.25	Guiseley - Stocksbridge Park Steels	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Warrington Rylands	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLLTT

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