Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A3 - Round 9

Date: 19 February 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Bandeirante		Rio Branco de Americana

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.05	1.99
	3.46	3.08	2.04
	3.54	3.15	2.05	Watch
	3.75	3	1.91
	3.55	3.08	2.03
	3.7	3.05	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↑ (2.35)	3.07 ↑ (2.95)	2 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bandeirante
25.1%

Draw
29.6%

Rio Branco de Americana
45.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.7%

30.9%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

32.5%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bandeirante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bandeirante's form might have worsened.

Rio Branco de Americana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rio Branco de Americana's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bandeirante than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bandeirante, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Branco de Americana than the current prediction. (-16.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rio Branco de Americana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Bandeirante - Rio Branco de Americana Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Rio Branco will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Adiel (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Bandeirante is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rio Branco is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bandeirante could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bandeirante will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bandeirante EC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
16.02.25	Atlético Monte Azul - Bandeirante	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Bandeirante - Lemense FC	1:0 ✺
05.02.25	XV de Jaú - Bandeirante	0:0 ✺
01.02.25	Bandeirante - Itapirense	0:2 ✺
29.01.25	Bandeirante - União São João	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWTLL
- Rio Branco de Americana
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
15.02.25	Rio Branco de Americana - Lemense FC	4:0 ✺
08.02.25	Catanduva - Rio Branco de Americana	0:0 ✺
05.02.25	Rio Branco de Americana - Francana	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Sertãozinho - Rio Branco de Americana	1:2 ✺
29.01.25	XV de Jaú - Rio Branco de Americana	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WTTWW

Bandeirante - Rio Branco de Americana